The cycle composite for S&P 500
The trend is more important than the level Source: J-C Parets
"The demand for Blackwell is insane." - $NVDA CEO Jensen Huang on CNBC just now
JPMorgan said today that Nvidia expects several billion of Blackwell revenue in Q4 Source: Stocktwits
Bullish sentiment is through the roof:
US equity futures positioning by investors excluding market-makers just hit a net long of ~$290 billion, the most on record. Since the beginning of the year, net long positioning has more than DOUBLED. This is also twice as high as during the previous peaks seen in early 2018 and 2020. Meanwhile, US households' stock allocation as a percentage of financial assets hit a new record of 41.8% in Q2 2024. Investors are all-in on stocks. Source: The Kobeissi Letter
The S&P 500's Dividend Yield has moved down to 1.27%, tied with Q4 2021 for the lowest yield since 2000.
Source: Charlie Bilello
Here's a crazy stat on this Chinese equity rally.
A momentum gauge of the Hang Seng Index just hit the highest level in 50 years. The % of members signalling overbought conditions is at a record. Source: Bloomberg, David Ingles
Michael Burry has had a sensational 2024 so far.
His fund is up 39%. Over the last 8 years he has also managed to provide returns of 345% compared to 110% for the S&P 500...! He only holds 10 companies. Source: @MMMTwealth
🚨42% OF US SMALL-CAP COMPANIES ARE UNPROFITABLE🚨
This is in line with the 2009 Great Financial Crisis levels. Notably, the share was higher only in 2020 and 2021. Russell 2000 firms also have $832 billion of debt. More rate cuts may help these zombie companies to stay alive. Source: Apollo, Global Markets Investor
Happy Q4...
sp500 heatmap October 1st Source: @bremarkets on X
