🍕 BREAKING: Domino's Pizza stock, $DPZ, soars over 8%
after Warren Buffett discloses new position in the company...
Moderna is getting absolutely smacked (-7%) on the news that Trump is nominated RFK Jr to lead HSS $MRNA
Source: Bloomberg
VACCINE STOCKS PLUNGE AS TRUMP TAPS RFK JR. FOR HHS CHIEF
Pharmaceutical stocks are in freefall after Trump named Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as his HHS Secretary nominee. Moderna (-30.6%), Novavax (-42.7%), and BioNTech (-11.9%) have all tumbled since the announcement as investors fear a dramatic shift in U.S. health policy. RFK Jr., who has challenged mainstream medical practices and vowed to streamline the FDA, says he'll refocus health agencies on nutrition and fighting chronic disease. Trump: "For too long, Americans have been crushed by the industrial food complex and drug companies." Source: @Breaking911 NBC, Mario Nawfal @MarioNawfal
Has J Powell handed Trump a ticking time bomb?
By prematurely cutting rates by 50 bps ahead of the election, even with inflation still running above target, the Fed has set the stage for an inflationary resurgence. The latest October inflation data released yesterday confirmed the trend, with PPI coming in at 2.4%, hotter than the expected 2.3% Meanwhile, core PPI rose to 3.1%, ahead of the expected 3.0% increase The bond market starts to price in this risk, with 10-year Treasury yields up nearly 70 bps since the Fed's began cutting overnight rates in September Rising borrowing costs will become a major headwind for Trump's pro-growth, and likely pro-inflationary, fiscal policies. And it could soon become a major problem for equity investors paying a near record high 28x (TTM) earnings in today's stock market. Source: Porter Stansberry @porterstansb on X, Marketwise,T
ARE US STOCKS OVERVALUED ⁉
☢ S&P 500 earnings yield FELL below the 10-year Treasury yield for the 1st time in 22 YEARS. ❗In other words, less risky (theoretically) 10-year Treasury is paying MORE than the S&P 500. ⚠This could imply lower than average forward returns for S&P 500. Source: The Daily Shot, Global Markets Investor
The US accounts for 74% of the MSCI world market capitalization, also a new all-time high.
Source: SG
Will the "Trump trade" start top fade in December?
Goldman Sachs' trader John Flood highlighted the 2016 analogs: the 3 trades depicted below (Domestic vs. International sales, Cyclicals vs. Defensives, Small-caps vs. Large-caps) skyrocketed in November 2016 but ALL started to fade in December 2016, going nowhere in Q1 2017. Could we see something similar in December and Q1 2025 ? Source: www.zerohedge.com, Goldman Sachs
BofA (Woodward):
"the net supply of US equities has shrunk -$473bn. The steady growth of buybacks, a key source of demand, has overwhelmed sources of new supply such as share issuance, IPOs, and stock-based compensation." So basically we have: 1) US stocks: shrinking supply, (ever-) increasing demand 2) US Treasuries: rising supply, decreasing demand Source: Neil Sethi
