Under the surface, the US equity market looks stronger than before...
This might be counterintuitive to many investors who got hurt this week on their large-cap growth positions, the market looks actually healthier than it was a few weeks ago...As highlighted by the great J-C Parets, there are plenty of new all-time highs everywhere: DJ Industrial average, S&P 500 equal-weight, Mid-cap 400, etc. A mentioned by J-C Parets, we just saw the most amount of stocks on the NYSE above their 200 day moving average that we've seen this entire bull market. We also saw the most amount of stocks on the NYSE and the Nasdaq hitting new 52-week highs that we've seen this whole bull market. You can go sector by sector and you'll see. Source: J-C Parets
Interesting point by HolgerZ on X. Unlike on Wall Street – big stocks in germany are still doing well, while small stocks are struggling.
This can be seen in the ratio of the Benchmark Index Dax to the Mid-Cap-Index MDax, which hit its highest level since 2011. This could be because the economy isn't doing great, and small companies are more affected by this. The Purchasing Managers' Index for Germany dropped below make-or-break 50 this week, highlighting Germany's economic challenges. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
The big names were the biggest losers this week
Even if other segments of the market are moving higher, it is tough for the main index to make progress of the big names continue to lose ground. Since July 10th, the market cap of the Magnificent 7 stocks has dropped a mind-numbering $2 trillion... Source: Trend Spider
Small Cap Stocks $IWM are on track to outperform the S&P 500 $SPX in July by the biggest margin in 24 years
Source: Barchart, Bloomberg
This week equity markets continued the rotation that began earlier this month, with small-cap stocks and value and cyclical sectors all outperforming mega-cap technology and growth sectors.
Source: Edward Jones
Russell 2000 Outperformance vs S&P 500 continues.
RTY vs SPX break out is at its widest levels since Feb 2000, > +9% MTD Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ
Is there more drawdown ahead for the S&P500?
Over the last ~100 years, median year has a SPX peak to trough drawdown of 13%. Believe it or not current drawdown has only been 5%... Source: GS
India quickly catches up to China as the world’s largest emerging market.
Indian stocks comprise nearly 20% of the MSCI Emerging Markets index, while China has dropped to a quarter from 40% in 2020. The narrowing gap has become one of the biggest issues for investors in emerging markets this year as they debate whether to put capital into an already red-hot Indian market, or into Chinese stocks that are relatively cheap, but are being hit by an econ slowdown. https://lnkd.in/ddkSqFy5 Source: FT, Charlie Bilello
