A contrarian idea on us small caps?
=> FUNDSTRAT: “.. Our top idea for 2024 is small-caps, where we see at least 50% upside .. Russell 2000 companies are set to grow .. faster than the $SPX .. Valuations are far more attractive .. when CEO confidence recovers, we also see the low valuations as setting the stage for synergistic M&A ..” Source: Carl Quintanilla, Fund strat
BREAKING: The Nasdaq Composite index is officially up 30% from its October 2023 low.
That's a 30% gain in 5 months or an average of 6% per month since October. To put this in perspective, the median ANNUAL return for the S&P 500 is 10%. This means that the Nasdaq has TRIPLED the median sp500 return in just 5 months. The top 10% of stocks in the S&P 500 also now reflect 75% of the index. Tech stocks have never been more powerful. Source: The Kobeissi Letter
Current SP500 vs. election seasonality
by Win Smart, CFA
Global equity risk premium are now at the lowest since 2008.
Source: Mike Zaccardi
FT: 'Peter Thiel, Jeff Bezos and Mark Zuckerberg are leading a parade of corporate insiders who have sold hundreds of millions of dollars of their companies' shares this quarter
In a signal that recent stock market exuberance could be peaking. https://t.co/lFp5iOD53j Source: FT Activate to view larger image,
Returns on different types of luxury goods have ranged from 8% to 280% over the last 10 years, compared to 158.1% for the S&P 500.
However , only one has outperformed the S&P 500 in terms of 10-year returns: Rare whiskey🥃, boasting an impressive 280% return. Source: Genuine Impact
Small speculators in stock indexes have reached their most bullish net position ever.
Source: WinSmart
Don't be too excited about Fed rate cuts.
Examining Fed rate cycles since 1970s has revealed that investors have more to fear from 1st cut in a cycle than the pause. On average, sp500 is up +5% over 100 days between last Fed tightening and 1st cut. The trough in broader market is -23% over 200 days after 1st cut in a series, SRP has calculated. Source: HolgerZ
