Hedge funds' top picks for Q4 2023 are in!
Key investment themes: ☁️ Hyperscalers: $AMZN, $GOOG, $MSFT. ⚙️ Semiconductors: $AMD, $ASML, $TSM. 🌏 Global commerce: $MELI, $PDD, $SQ. ☁️ Software: $CRM, $OKTA, $PCOR. 🩸 Medical devices: $DXCM. Source: App Economy Insights
$2.4 Trillion In Options Expire Today
There is over $2.4 trillion of notional in options exposure that will expire on Friday, including $510 billion notional of single stock options. Index options volumes continue to grow, driven by 0DTE/short-dated options. Meanwhile, single stock options volumes have rebounded to an 18-month-high fueled by significant growth in call options volumes. Google searches for "call options" just hit a 2 year high. source : gs, zerohedge
Seasonality
S&P 500 is Now Entering the Worst 2-Week Period of the Year Source : gs, barchart
The US equity market is rivalling 2000 and 1929 in terms of being its most concentrated in history, DB has calculated.
The top 5 stocks Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Alphabet & Amazon account for 25% of mkt cap of the S&P 500. source : holgerz
S&P 500 $SPX is now entering the worst 2-week period of the year based on data going back almost 100 years.
Source: Bloomberg
Since February 2023:
1. Magnificent 7: +77% 2. S&P 500: +20% 3. Russel 2000: +5% 4. S&P 500 Equal Weight: +4% If you remove the Magnificent 7 from the S&P 500, the index is barely up 5% over the last year. Source: The Kobeissi Letter
Ranked: The Largest Stock Markets Over Time, by Country (1970-Today)
Source: Visual Capitalist
Meme Stock Anniversary
Three years ago today, the "meme-stock mania" that saw hundreds of profitless stocks surge hundreds of percent in a matter of months hit its ultimate peak. In the three months leading up to February 12th, 2021, the average stock in the Russell 3,000 (current members) rallied 40%, but there were 178 stocks that saw three-month rallies of more than 100%, 35 stocks that rallied 300%+, and four stocks that rallied over 1,000%. Below is a table of the 35 stocks currently in the Russell 3,000 that rallied 300%+ in the three months leading up to 2/12/21( include also how each of these stocks has performed since 2/12/21) source : bespoke
