The S&P 500 earnings yield minus risk-free cash rate (3-month treasury bill) has dropped to its lowest level (-90 basis points) in 23 years
Source: BofA
91 is the number of trading sessions since at least a 1.5% sell off session in SPX
This length of time without a 1 day equity shock is rare ... has happened ~five times in the last 15 years. Source: Goldman Sachs, TME
The longer term gap between NASDAQ and the US 10 year remains huge
Source: TME, Refiitiv
As Goldman's Brian Garrett noted yesterday, it has been 91 days since the sp500 suffered a 1.5% loss or greater in a day...
That's unusual - it has happened only 5 times in the last 15 years. As we have discussed recently, Sep + Oct are seasonally-volatile months... Source: Goldman Sachs
An important chart
Source: J-C Parets
Technology stocks now reflect a record ~25% of all equity fund assets
Just 8 years ago, technology stocks only reflected just ~9% of all equity fund assets. Meanwhile, 5 stocks currently account for ~70% of the Nasdaq's gain this year. Technology stocks have become the backbone of the stock market. Source: The Kobeissi Letter
European stocks are becoming very disconnected from macroeconomic data
Source: Cheddar Flow, Bloomberg
Germany Factory Orders Slumped 11.7% at Start of Third Quarter
*GERMANY JULY FACTORY ORDERS FALL 11.7% M/M; EST. -4.3% *GERMANY JULY FACTORY ORDERS FALL 10.5% Y/Y; EST. -4.5% German factory orders plummeted in July, a sign that the woes of Europe’s biggest economy continued into the third quarter. Demand decreased by 11.7% from June, far worse than the 4.3% drop expected by economists in a Bloomberg survey. That decline was due to major orders, without which the gauge would have increased by 0.3%. The drop in what is a volatile series did follow three months of gains. Source: Blooomberg
