Gold market cap relative to the US equity market cap hit its highest level in 12 YEARS and is exactly at its long-term median.
Given the geopolitical and likely financial markets changes underway, will we see a repeat of the 1970s??? Source: Global Markets Investors, Incrementum AG
BREAKING 📢 Michael Burry says:
"The biggest financial crisis we've seen since 2008 will hit Wall Street next year, that’s why i sold 99% of my stocks"
S&P 500 ekes out sixth winning day as investors look past U.S. credit downgrade.
As shown below, US CDS (red line) barely moved on the news. And any way, investors are more focus on the green line (global trade policy uncertainty) than anything else. Source: zerohedge
🚨Are investors too complacent?
The US equities put/call ratio fell from the highest level in 12 months to the 2nd-lowest level this year. Since the 2022 bear market, the put/call ratio has rarely been this low. Source: Global Markets Investor
Since 2016, S&P 500 has only had 2 red months during the May-July period 📈📈📈
Source: barchart
Yes, 2025 is likely to be a record year for EU equities funds inflows (according to BofA/EPFR, +$110bn inflow annualized, which will be the biggest since '15).
But despite all the US bashing, it could be a very strong year for US equities inflows as well. Indeed, US equities funds are on course for $416bn inflow, the 2nd biggest year ever... Source: BofA, EPFR
The jump in long equity positioning last week was the largest on record, per Deutsche Bank!
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$1.2 Trillion of S&P 500 $SPX notional options exposure is set to expire on Friday with a max pain price currently sitting at 5,840
Source: Barchart
