Syz the moment

A basket of 22 European stocks exposed to US tariffs compiled by Goldman Sachs has tumbled 5% since late September as the former president’s odds of an election victory shorten. The basket, which includes Diageo, Porsche, Mercedes, Adidas or Moller Maersk is now down 11% this year, compared with an 8% rise for the broader European stock market and 22.5% for the S&P500. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg

Source: companiesmarketcap.com

Since the start of the year, the index has risen by 17%. However, this growth is driven entirely by higher valuations. The Dax's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is nearly 15, and if you exclude the dirt-cheap car stocks, it jumps to 17. Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ

In 2023, it generated more revenue than Hermès $RMS.PA and approximately the same amount as Kering $KER.PA and Richemont $CFR.SW, at around $20 billion. The 114 year-old luxury giant is privately owned by the Wertheimer brothers, whose grandfather was a business partner of Coco Chanel. When the CEO, Leena Nair, was asked about an IPO last year, she said: “We’re going to stay a private, independent company. Rumours always float around, but you can put those to rest." Source: Quartr

Source: J-C Parets

Most economic data in the world's third-largest economy has come below average economists' expectations over the last 2 years. Germany is also on track for 2nd straight year of SHRINKING GDP, for the 1st time since 2003. Chart: @AugurInfinity thru Global Markets Investor

France’s CAC 40 index is back in the red for the year after President Emmanuel Macron backed a temporary tax on the country's largest companies. Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ

Officials now expect stagnation at best, down from the previously projected 0.3%. This new forecast is even below consensus of +0.1%. As a result, Germany is falling further. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg