Straight from the Desk
Syz the moment
Live feeds, charts, breaking stories, all day long.
- All
- us
- macro
- equities
- Food for Thoughts
- sp500
- Central banks
- Bonds
- markets
- bitcoin
- Asia
- technical analysis
- investing
- europe
- Crypto
- geopolitics
- tech
- performance
- gold
- Commodities
- AI
- nvidia
- ETF
- earnings
- Forex
- Real Estate
- oil
- banking
- magnificent-7
- Volatility
- nasdaq
- apple
- emerging-markets
- energy
- china
- Alternatives
- switzerland
- tesla
- trading
- sentiment
- russia
- Money Market
- assetmanagement
- UK
- ESG
- Middle East
- microsoft
- amazon
- ethereum
- meta
- bankruptcy
- Turkey
- Healthcare
- Industrial-production
- Global Markets Outlook
- africa
- brics
- Market Outlook
- Asset Allocation Insights
- Flash
- Focus
Most of this year's Dax rally is driven by higher EPS expectations, not P/E expansion. Dax has gained 18% year-to-date while Dax P/E has expanded only 6% from 11.5 to 12.2
Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ
Political position of the largest party in each European country
(map by try.balkan/instagram) Source: OnlMaps
Eurozone inflation cooled more than expected, putting 2% target in sight:
Headline CPI rose 2.4% YoY in November down from 2.9% in October. Core CPI, which excludes volatile components like fuel & food, moderated for a 4th month to 3.6% from 4.2% in October. Markets are now pricing 1st ECB rate cut to take place at the April meeting. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
ECB QT continues. ECB balance sheet back <€7tn, shrank by €5.3bn to €6,996bn, lowest since Jan2021
Total assets now equal to 50% of Eurozone GDP vs Fed's 28% & BoJ's 128%. And Lagarde has warned that the timeline for ending PEPP reinvestments and so QT could be accelerated. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
German inflation sinks more than expected as energy retreats & costs of fuels & travel fell sharply from prior mth
Headline CPI slows to 3.2% YoY in Nov from 3.8% in Oct & vs 3.5% exp. Food inflation slows to 5,5% from 6.1%, Core CPI dropped from 4.3% to 3.8%, so a long way to go to 2% goal. Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ
Investing with intelligence
Our latest research, commentary and market outlooks