Syz the moment

We’ve seen a massive reset in bond volatility since the Liberation Day chaos. US Treasuries yields have gone nowhere, but at these levels owning some bond volatility offers limited downside with asymmetric upside. Source: The Market Ear, LSEG

Source: The Long View @HayekAndKeynes

Source: Bloomberg (These are NOT investment recommendations)

For years, Italy and Spain were labeled the "risky periphery" of the Eurozone. Today? They are the new safe havens. Here is what’s happening in the markets right now (and why you should care): 1. The 16-Year Milestone 📉 Italian and Spanish borrowing costs have hit their lowest levels relative to Germany since 2009. The "risk gap" is evaporating. 2. The "Tale of Two Europes" ↔️ While the South is belt-tightening and growing, the traditional "safe" anchors are drifting: Spain: Set to be the world’s fastest-growing large advanced economy in 2025 (2.9% GDP growth). Italy: Winning over markets with fiscal discipline and a crackdown on tax evasion. France: Struggling with political turmoil and a budget deficit that has pushed its borrowing costs above Spain’s. 3. From "PIIGS" to "Prudent" 💎 Remember the Eurozone crisis? That memory is being replaced by a new reality. Fund managers like Vanguard and BNP Paribas are no longer seeing these as "distressed" assets. They are seeing them as core investments. 4. The Institutional Shift 🏦 The ultimate signal? Ultra-cautious central banks are now looking at Italian and Spanish debt for their foreign reserves. That is the highest stamp of approval a sovereign bond can get. The Lesson: Markets have long memories, but they aren't static. Resilience is built in the tough times. The "periphery" isn't the periphery anymore. It’s the engine. 🚀 Agree? Or is this just a temporary honeymoon phase for the South?

Japanese 10-year government bond yield hit 2.07%, the highest since the 1990s. Gold prices hit a record $4,440, rising +68% year-to-date. Finally, silver prices surpassed $66 per ounce for the first time in history, now up +134% year-to-date. When will it end? Source: Global Markets Investor

"Chancellor Friedrich Merz has now suffered a setback in foreign policy as well. He was unable to push through the Mercosur trade deal – an agreement that matters greatly for Germany’s economy – and the plan to support Ukraine’s debt relies on the issuance of joint EU debt. As a result, Germany is slowly losing one of its last competitive advantages: its superior credit rating. The risk premium on EU bonds relative to German Bunds has narrowed sharply in recent weeks". Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg

Coreweave in blue Oracle in red Source: www.zerohedge.com

Source: RBC, Bloomberg