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14 Jul 2025

Treasury Rate Volatility $MOVE falls to lowest level since January 2022

Source: Barchart

11 Jul 2025

German long-term bond yields keep rising.

The yield on 30y Bunds has reached 3.23% — nearing its highest level in 14 years. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg

8 Jul 2025

Great chart by Otavio (Tavi) Costa which summarizes very well what the Treasury market it currently trying to tell us:

▶️ Front end of the curve (short-term rates): the growing influence of the "shadow Fed chair" on short-term rates ▶️ Long end of the curve (30Y): The mounting fiscal disarray It seems that risk assets and store of values are the main beneficiaries of this backdrop. Source: Bloomberg, Tavi Costa

8 Jul 2025

$TLT vs. $SPX

New lows for LT Treasuries vs. the S&P 500. But hey, at least you got your 4% 🫠 Source: Ian McMillan, CMT @the_chart_life

8 Jul 2025

Article by FT ▶️ Investors pile into tokenised Treasury funds.

Stablecoin issuers and traders are attracted by yields on offer and potential use as collateral in some derivatives transactions. 🔴 Crypto companies and traders are pouring billions of dollars into tokenised versions of money market and Treasury bond mutual funds, as they look beyond stablecoins to other places to park excess cash that can also give them some yield. 🔴Total assets held in tokenised Treasury products — which include funds whose units have been converted into digital tokens as well as some tokenised US government bonds — have jumped 80 per cent so far this year to $7.4bn, according to data group RWA.xyz. 🔴Funds run by BlackRock, Franklin Templeton and Janus Henderson have grown particularly rapidly, with combined assets tripling. Inflows have been driven in part by crypto traders, many of whom are finding tokenised funds a more attractive place than stablecoins to park their money. Some investors are also starting to use these funds as an easy-to-trade form of collateral in crypto derivatives transactions. https://lnkd.in/e25ZwDG5

4 Jul 2025

It seems the world is becoming MORE comfortable with USA sovereign risk once again...

(below US CDS) Source: Bloomberg, www.zerohedge.com

4 Jul 2025

UK gilt yields have retraced a significant portion of Wednesday’s sharp widening.

This follows, and is in reaction to the Prime Minister’s strong public support for Rachel Reeves in last night’s interview with the BBC’s Nick Robinson. Source: Bloomberg, Mo El Erian

3 Jul 2025

UK 30yr gilt yields soaaaaaaaaring

Source: Bloomberg, Mike Bird @Birdyword

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