Trump odds of winning the Presidential election are BELOW where they were after the debate…
Source: Predictit
BREAKING >>>> Kamala Harris starts the race down 9 Points, even worse than Biden
A national survey released yesterday (22/7) by HarrisX and Forbes Breaking News shows former President Donald J. Trump more than doubling his lead over both President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris in the aftermath of the Republican National Convention (RNC). The poll, taken before Biden officially dropped out of the race, indicates Trump leading Biden among registered voters 48%-40%, up from 45%-42% prior to RNC, and leading Harris 50% to 41%. Among likely November voters, Trump’s lead increases to double digits: 49%-39% against Biden, with 12% undecided and 51%-40% against Harris, with 9% as undecided voters. The poll, which was conducted July 19-21, 2024 with 2,753 registered voters, also shows that voters expect Trump to win in November. Nearly two in three (65%) expected him to win against Biden and nearly as many (63%) say he would win against Harris. “Kamala Harris starts her 2024 battle behind Trump, who is enjoying a strong post-convention bump and leads her by almost digits in our polling,” commented Dritan Nesho, CEO and chief pollster at HarrisX, on the findings. “If the polls don’t start to close and show better traction for her, Biden’s decision to step aside for Harris may be a case of ‘too similar, too late.’ That said, Vice President Harris alleviates concerns among the democratic base and is better able to sway undecided independents and suburban women, showing some promise.” Source: HarrisX/Forbes
A "palace coup"?
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Will the Presidential race be a tighter one than currently predicted?
Watch out
France’s Interior Minister Gerald Darmanin said the minimum wage could be increased, opening the door to a key proposal of the leftist bloc
Raising the floor on the basic wage known as the SMIC by around €200 ($217.64) to €1,600 a month net is a core proposal of the New Popular Front, which won the largest share of seats in a snap election two weeks ago, but not enough to govern alone. Source; Bloomberg
It was inevitable...
Source: Inverse Creamer (Not Jim Cramer) on X
President Biden announces he is dropping his re-election bid and endorses Vice President Kamala Harris as the Democratic candidate.
Here is where we stand on Predictit.
BREAKING >>> BIDEN IS DROPPING OUT OF PRESIDENTIAL RACE
US President Joe Biden has abandoned his re-election bid following overwhelming pressure from fellow Democrats, saying that “it was in the best interest of my party and the country for me to stand down”. The president announced his decision in a letter published to social media on Sunday, throwing this year’s White House race into turmoil with less than four months to go until voters in the world’s biggest economy elect their new leader on November 5. Biden’s announcement follows more than three weeks of wrenching debate among Democrats about his candidacy after a disastrous debate performance against Trump reignited concerns about his mental acuity and damaged his standing among American voters. An Associated Press poll out last week found nearly two-thirds of Democratic voters said Biden should drop out of the race. Source: FT
