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10 Oct 2024

It's not just online betting markets:

Goldman's "Republican Victory" basket surged today and has taken the lead over "Democrat Victory" for the first time since the debate. Source: Bloomberg, www.zerohedge.com

8 Oct 2024

BREAKING: Polymarket’s prediction markets now show Donald Trump nearly 9 percentage points ahead of Kamala Harris.

This is nearly his largest lead since Kamala Harris entered the election. Source: The Kobeissi Letter on X

4 Oct 2024

33 days away from election day, it looks like the markets see Republican Vance as the clear winner of the VP debate Vance/Walz.

The GS Republican policy pair depot has risen significantly, while the GS Democrat policy pair depot has fallen recently. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg

2 Oct 2024

NEARLY 200 MISSILES WERE LAUNCHED INTO ISRAEL FROM IRAN, ISRAELI ARMY RADIO SAYS

ISRAELI OFFICIAL SAYS RESPONSE TOWARDS IRAN ‘WILL BE HARSH’: KANN Bomb alarm sirens across the entire country (map). Oil spikes +4% Gold +1% VIX skyrockets +20% S&P 500 down 0.9% Source: Global Markets Investor on X

2 Oct 2024

According to Polymarket, probability of having an Israel military response against Iran by Friday is <50% as of writin

Source: Polymarket, C.Barraud

16 Sep 2024

BREAKING: Multiple shots were fired in the vicinity of Donald Trump as he was golfing at the Trump National Golf Club in West Palm Beach

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11 Sep 2024

US Presidential debate: Not all topics have been tackled...

Nothing about government spending. Nothing about national debt. Nothing about taxes. Meanwhile, the US debt clock is ticking... Source: Kurt Altrichter on X

11 Sep 2024

Harris is tonight's winner based on betting markets

Source: David Ingles, Bloomberg

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