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22 Dec 2023

Goldilocks continue with economic data (in red) remaining sluggish and financial conditions (in green) dramatically 'loosening'...

Source: www.zerohedge.com, Bloomberg

22 Dec 2023

The probability of a Fed rate cut in March 2024 has jumped up to 83%. A month ago the odds were only 29%.

Source: Charlie Bilello

22 Dec 2023

Ocean Freight

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21 Dec 2023

MAP OF THE DAY: The number of ships that have diverted from the Red Sea and instead taken the 10/14-day longer route around Africa has risen to >100.

The map shows **container ships** declaring European ports as destination, with one only left in the Red Sea | Red Sea Source: Javier Blas

21 Dec 2023

ALERT: Job openings are collapsing (but from a very high level)

Source: Game of Trades

21 Dec 2023

Labor unions are pushing for big pay rise…

e.g Southwest Airlines pilot pay would increase 50pct under new labor contract. A wage-inflation spiral remains a threat (even if overall job creations are plunging) Source: CNBC

21 Dec 2023

Longer-term US inflation expectations have fallen dramatically over the past two months, to close to the Fed's 2% target

Source: Bloomberg

20 Dec 2023

Compound interest as the 8th wonder of the world...

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