Might be a bit early to say if Truflation works but if it does, this looks pretty good. Here's why Truflation could the "anti-CPI" index disrupting economic forecasting
1. Goodbye Surveys, Hello Big Data 📡 The official CPI relies on manual surveys and "judgmental adjustments." Truflation uses 18 million+ data points in real-time. It scrapes e-commerce APIs, transit data, and housing aggregates every 24 hours. 2. The "45-Day Edge" 🏃💨 Traditional inflation data is a rearview mirror. Truflation acts as a leading indicator, often sniffing out price pivots 45 days before they hit government reports. 3. Censorship-Resistant Math ⛓️ Ever feel like the "official" numbers don't match your receipt? Truflation puts its data on-chain (via Chainlink). It’s immutable. No "seasonal adjustments" or political massaging—just pure, transparent code. 4. The Current Reality (Jan 2026) 📊 While headlines debate the latest "sticky" CPI prints, Truflation’s dashboard often shows a different story: Official CPI: Hovering around 2.3% Truflation: Currently tracking closer to 1.7% The Takeaway: In a world of high-frequency trading and instant supply chain shifts, "monthly" is the new "obsolete." By the way, hashtag#blockchain is the structural backbone of Truflation. While it collects data from traditional sources (like e-commerce sites and retailers), it uses blockchain to ensure that data is verifiable, transparent, and tamper-proof. The ecosystem has its own native token ($TRUF) which handles the "business" side of the data: - Staking: Node operators (the people running the computers that verify the data) must stake tokens as collateral to ensure they provide honest numbers. - Governance: Token holders can vote on things like which new data categories should be added or how the inflation formula should be weighted. - Payments: Users often pay in tokens to access premium, high-speed data streams Source chart: Bloomberg, RBC
Foreign ownership of US debt rises to an all-time high.
Source: Daniel Lacalle @dlacalle_IA Bloomberg
Us inflation is now at 1.2% according to truflation
Source: Anthony Pompliano
The EU owns 40% of us debt
Source: Bloomberg
GS says very small effects of the 10% tariff on Europe
"While implementation is highly uncertain, we estimate that a 10% tariff would lower real GDP in the affected European countries by 0.1-0.2% via lower exports. The inflation effects would likely be very small and a Taylor rule would point to modestly lower policy rates, all else equal." Source: TME
China’s GDP grew 4.5% in the October to December period, slowing from 4.8% in the third quarter, the weakest in nearly three years as consumption misses forecasts
Full-year economic output came in at 5%, meeting the official target of around 5%. Retail sales grew 0.9% in December from a year earlier, the slowest growth since late 2022. Industrial output climbed 5.2% in December, topping expectations for a 5% growth. Source: CNBC
The K-shaped economy is becoming even more K-shaped...
The shift towards capital away from labor is one of the reason Source chart: Blackrock
China last year registered the lowest number of births since records began
This marks the fourth consecutive year of population decline as policymakers grapple with a demographic crisis. Source: FT
