Italy's bond yield just crossed 4%! Thanks to Germany's embracement of debt to invest in defense and infrastructure.
Who remember what happened in 2011/2012? At the time the debt to GDP ratio was 108%. Today it is 140%... Source: Jeroen Blokland, Bloomberg
Deja vu all over again???
Source: www.zerohedge.com, Bloomberg
The US National Debt is currently at $36.6T or $323K per taxpayer
source : usdebtclock.org
Europe's high-debt countries - like France, Italy and Spain - cheer Germany's fiscal expansion.
They're not doing that out of the goodness of their hearts. Germany now can't possibly say no to more joint EU debt issuance. A win for high-debt countries and their muddle through... Source: Robin Brooks
US economic data related to the CONSUMER has surprised to the DOWNSIDE by the most in over 2 years.
This comes as Americans pulled back on spending due to deteriorating labor market conditions and high inflation. 🚨Spending reflects 2/3 of the US GDP. Source: Global Markets Investor, Goldman Sachs
Nice visual of the Atlanta Fed GDPNow
Source: WinSmart
China's out with some proper fiscal firepower: Highest official deficit target in 30+ years
Plus... CNY1.3 trillion in ultra-long special sovereign bonds CNY4.4 trillion in new special local govt bonds CNY500 billion in special sovereign bonds China on Wednesday set its GDP growth target for 2025 at “around 5%” and laid out stimulus measures to boost its economy amid escalating trade tensions with the U.S. Beijing raised its budget deficit target to “around 4%” of GDP from 3% last year, according to the official report, as the country’s top legislative body held its annual meeting. The 4% deficit would mark the highest on record going back to 2010, according to data accessed via Wind Information. The prior high was 3.6% in 2020, the data showed. Source: Bloomberg, David Ingles on X, CNBC
Short-term pain for long-term gain ???
Trump has mentioned both falling bond yields and a goal of balancing the budget… There will be an “adjustment period” and “some disturbance.” He is really going for it.
