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BREAKING: There are now a record 299,000 new homes for sale in the Southern US states, according to Reventure.
This is even higher than in 2006, a year before the housing market crash began. The number of new houses for sale in the South has nearly DOUBLED in just 4 years. Meanwhile, new home sales have officially dropped below pre-pandemic levels for the first time. It would take ~9 months current new inventory to sell if it sold at the current pace without new inventory coming to the market, 2nd longest duration since 2009. Source: The Kobeissi Letter, Reventure
Looks like Biden keeps the lead on Democrats nomination and this means a high probability of Trump winning Presidential election
Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
A good chart on how narrow the US market has been this year:
Source: Hidden Value Gems This was actually made originally by Grant Hawkridge https://lnkd.in/e8nwsZYA
Biden sent this letter to congressional Democrats on Monday morning saying he is 'firmly committed to staying in this race.'
Here is the reaction (this is a 5-minute chart of Predictit betting that Biden is the nominee) Source: James Bianco, Bianco Research
US GDP growth estimates are plummeting: The most recent Atlanta Fed estimate for real US GDP quarterly growth in Q2 2024 is down to 1.7%.
This estimate is down from 4.2% seen in mid-May and from 2.2% seen on June 28th. If this estimate turns out to be correct it will be the 2nd consecutive quarter of GDP growth below 2.0% after Q1 2024 GDP of 1.4%. Is the US economy finally slowing down? Source: The Kobeissi Letter
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