Straight from the Desk

Syz the moment

Live feeds, charts, breaking stories, all day long.

4 Jul 2024

BREAKING: Nancy Pelosi has sold her Tesla, $TSLA, position worth ~$500,000.

She has also purchased an addition $1.2 million of Nvidia, $NVDA, and $5 million of Broadcom, $AVGO. Nancy Pelosi made millions buying nvidia, $NVDA, over the last two years. It appears that she is now doubling down on semiconductors stocks. Are chip stocks setting up for favorable legislation and/or US support ⁉ Source: The Kobeissi Letter

4 Jul 2024

Another new low for the Citigroup US surprises index on the back of poor macro numbers this week (ADP employment, ISM services, etc.)

Source: Bloomberg, Ronald-Peter Stoeferle, CMT, CFTe, MSTA

4 Jul 2024

Bets of a Kamala Harris nomination are exploding

Source: Bloomberg

4 Jul 2024

BREAKING: US consumers' average 5-10 year inflation expectations have spiked to 5.6%, the highest in 31 years.

This measure increased by ~2 percentage points in just a few months. By comparison, median inflation expectations are around 3%, in-line with the readings seen over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, CPI inflation has been above 3% for 38 consecutive months, the longest streak since the 1990s. Will inflation stay a major issue in H2 2024? Source: The Kobeissi letter, Bloomberg

4 Jul 2024

Kamala Harris and Joe Biden's odds of securing the Democratic presidential nomination have converged...

Source: Bloomberg, Michael McDonough

3 Jul 2024

Odds of Biden winning democratic 2024 presidential nominee are collapsing as NYT said Biden told ally he is weighing whether to continue in race

.

3 Jul 2024

As of this morning, betting markets are giving VP Harris higher odds of being President after the 2024 Election than current President Biden.

The cross has happened. Source: Bespoke

3 Jul 2024

During Presidential election years, volatility tend to pick up EXACTLY at this time of the year

Source: Topdown Charts

Thinking out loud

Sign up for our weekly email highlighting the most popular posts.

Follow us

Thinking out loud

Investing with intelligence

Our latest research, commentary and market outlooks