The interest payments on US Federal Government Debt have surpassed a $1 trillion annual rate, increasing 98% over the past 3 years
Source: Charlie Bilello
Another damming poll for Biden: With 8 mths left until Nov election, Joe Biden’s 43% support lags behind Donald Trump’s 48% in the national survey of registered voters
The share of voters who strongly disapprove of President Biden’s handling of his job has reached 47%, higher than at any point in his presidency. The betting markets are now also backing Trump. PredictIt has him 6%-pts ahead. Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ
Wealth inequality keeps rising
The Top 1% of US earners now have more wealth than the middle class
🚨 February numbers are in and the Mag 7 are now the 𝗙𝗮𝗻𝘁𝗮𝘀𝘁𝗶𝗰 𝟰 year to date
Nvidia , Meta , Microsoft and Amazon driving all the gains while Apple , Google and Tesla fall out of the 7. Source: John Haslett, CA(SA), FRM
Today's report unveiled the largest positive surprise in US personal income since the surge in consumer prices began in 2021
Source: Tavi Costa, Bloomberg
More evidence of a decline in US Inflation...
The PCE Price Index moved down to 2.4% in January, its lowest level since February 2021. Cycle peak was 7% in June 2022. Source: Charlie Bilello
When you invest in US debt, think twice...
In Q4 2023, nominal GDP grew by 3.2% according to data on Wednesday. This would mean a $334.5 billion increase in nominal GDP. Meanwhile, over the same time period the US added $834.2 billion of debt. In other words, it cost us $2.50 of debt for every $1.00 of GDP last quarter, according to Zerohedge. As Fed Chair Powell recently said, "we are on an unsustainable fiscal path." What's the long term plan here? Source: The Kobeissi Letter, www.zerohedge.com
US financial conditions are very easy compared to Fed Funds...
Too easy? Bear in mind what the FOMC said in the Minutes on Wednesday: "Several participants mentioned the risk that financial conditions were or could become less restrictive than appropriate, which could add undue momentum to aggregate demand and cause progress on inflation to stall." Could this lead the fed to keep rates higher for longer? How long will the market be able to shrug off high rates and higher bond yields? Source: www.zerohedge
