UPDATE:
According to the CME FedWatch tool, markets see a ~93% chance of one rate cut in September 2025 (to 4.00–4.25%) and a ~92% chance of two cuts by December (to 3.50–3.75%). Source: cointelegraph
The S&P 500 is now up +31% over the last 5 months, the most since the 2020 pandemic recovery
This marks the third-biggest 5-month gain over the last 20 years. This is only 1 percentage point behind the post-2008 Financial Crisis recovery of +32%. Since the April 8th low, the S&P 500 has added a MASSIVE +$16.6 trillion in value. That is more than the size of every individual stock market in the world, except the US. Source: The Kobeissi Letter
Is Larry Ellison the GOAT?
1) Owns 40% of $ORCL, 2) Hasn't sold any shares! 3) $ORCL bought back 50% of the shares outstanding, 4) Now worth $401B. He is 81 years old and could be on his Yacht in Monaco. Yet, he remains the CEO of the company he founded 48 years ago, and still answers questions on earnings calls! Still creating value for his shareholders. Unbelievable! Source: Ray Myers @TheRayMyers
Initial jobless claims spiked today, but ex Texas, they look normal for this time of year
Per the Texas Workforce Commission, filings for Disaster Unemployment Assistance related to the lethal floods in the Texas Hill Country earlier this summer were due by September 4... Source: Bespoke
The Fed is in command
1. Stocks: all-time high, 2. Home Prices: all-time high, 3. Bitcoin: all-time high, 4. Gold: all-time high, 5. Money Supply: all-time high, 6. National Debt: all-time high, 7. CPI Inflation: 4% per year since Jan 2020, 2x the Fed's "target", 8. Fed: cutting interest rates next week. Source: Charlie Bilello
Elon Musk has lost his title as the world's richest person to Larry Ellison, the co-founder of Oracle and an ally of US President Donald Trump
Ellison's wealth surged to $393bn (£290bn) on Wednesday morning, surpassing Musk's $385bn (£284bn), according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. Source : bloomberg
Real estate has held its spot as America’s favorite long-term investment for the 12th year in a row, ahead of stocks, gold, and savings accounts
Source : pacaso, chartr
Data centers are scarce
Source: BofA
