Rotational market lives on. We note that 368 stocks were higher in the S&P 500 yesterday. The most since late April.
Rare to see so many stocks going up with the S&P 500 retreating. Source: Ryan Detrick
US Inflation just jumped to 4.2% the highest since 2023.
US CPI rose from 3.8% to 4.2% in May, but the increase is mainly driven by higher oil and energy prices linked to geopolitical tensions, not underlying inflation. The key focus is Core CPI, which excludes food and energy and came in lower than expected at 0.2% month-on-month versus 0.3% expected and 0.4% previously, indicating that underlying inflation is slowing faster than anticipated. This shifts the macro outlook for the Fed, as it cannot directly address oil-driven inflation through interest rates. If oil prices fall, inflation could ease and rate cuts may return to the table; if oil rises further, inflation could accelerate and force renewed tightening. Overall, the next move in oil will be decisive for the macro narrative. Source: Bull Theory
In case you missed it... Citi U.S. Economic Surprise Index has risen to its highest since October 2023
Source: Kevin Gordon Bloomberg
The US is exporting its SPR releases.
Source: Lukas Ekwueme
The US Treasury just bought back $12,500,000,000 of its own debt to improve liquidity.
Source: Bull Theory
The U.S. is proposing new tariffs of at least 10% on imports from 60 trading partners after a forced-labor-related trade investigation.
Canada, Mexico, the EU, Taiwan, and the UK would face a 10% tariff. China, India, Japan, South Korea, Brazil, Switzerland, and other major economies would face a 12.5% tariff. The tariffs are not immediate. Written comments are due July 6, with public hearings starting July 7, so the final rules could still change before implementation. Source: Wall St Engine
In case you missed it... Better than expected ADP jobs data combined with Services PMI strength and soaring factory orders sent the US Macro Surprise Index ripping to its strongest since Sept 2023...
Source: zerohedge
The S&P 500 averages +4.6% in midterm years dating back to 1950.
It's already up 11% halfway through 2026. Stocks are outpacing their own history by a mile this year. Source: Phil Rosen
