Bloomberg Economics estimates that the average tariff rate the US charges on around $3T of imported goods will now go up to 22%- the highest in a century
But remember, this is NOT a final number. Many things can happen. - China could negotiate a deal (or try to absorb the shock via more stimulus and weakening of the Yuan) - The EU could chose to retaliate - and the US escalates... - How will the rest of the world respond is very uncertain as well Expect a new high in the economic uncertainty index and lots of volatility ahead Source: chart: Bianco Research
JUST IN 🚨:
The odds of a U.S. Recession occurring this year just soared to 50% on Polymarket 👀 Source: Barchart
Uncertainty during uncertain time...
Source: Bloomberg
What's your favorite US mega-cap here?
Source: Bespoke
Is Trump's plan to reshore manufacturing already working?
This is the biggest increase in manufacturing jobs since October 22, which was followed by a 2 year manufacturing recession. Source: Bloomberg, www.zerohedge.com
Richmond Fed asked companies how the plan to respond to tariffs.
Strong majority plan to raise prices... Source: Dario Perkins @darioperkins on X
Worst quarter for US stocks relative to the rest of the world in 23 years
Source: Bloomberg Opinion, www.zerohedge.com
A MIND-BLOWING chart:
The US budget deficit is set to average 6.3% over the next 30 years. This would be higher than any other period outside of major crises and wars. This also would be 2.5 percentage points above the past 50-year average... Source: Global Markets Investor
