Equity markets are fearful of far more than some marginal tariff tensions.
Macro data this week broadly speaking reinforced the growth scare (red line below) while inflation anxiety is back way up... Source: www.zerohedge.com, Bloomberg
The US labour market is on recession alert as job market cools with large discrepancies between establishment survey and household survey.
👉 The establishment survey showed 151,000 new jobs in Feb, LESS than expected. 👉 According to the household survey, 588,000 jobs were cut in Feb, which is why the unemployment rate has risen to 4.1%, although the participation rate has also fallen from 62.6% to 62.4%. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
BREAKING: US February NFP lower than expected!
➡️ Nonfarm Payrolls 151K (est. 160K, prev. 125K) ➡️ Private Nonfarm Payrolls 140K (est. 142K, prev. 81K) ➡️ Unemployment rate 4.1% (est. 4.0%, prev. 4.0%) ➡️ Average hourly earnings YoY 4.0% (est. 4.1%, prev. 3.9%) ➡️ Labor force participation 62.4% (est. 62.6%, prev. 62.6%) Source: Jayanth Ukwaththa on X, US Bureau of Statistics
WATCH CREDIT SPREADS‼️
US high yield spreads (in green) are starting to tick up, but not to the extent of the Economic Uncertainty Index nor the Vix (in red). If credit weakens, then we know we are in trouble... Source: Bloomberg, RBC
➡️ 🚨 BREAKING: TRUMP SIGNS EXECUTIVE ORDER CREATING U.S. BITCOIN RESERVE. BITCOIN PRICE FALL
Trump has officially established the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and U.S. Digital Asset Stockpile, marking a major shift in U.S. crypto policy. The reserve will be funded using Bitcoin seized in criminal and civil forfeitures—no taxpayer money involved. The U.S. is estimated to hold around 200,000 BTC, but there’s never been a full audit. Unlike past sales that lost taxpayers $17 billion, this Bitcoin won’t be dumped—it’s being stored as a digital Fort Knox. The executive order also directs a full accounting of U.S. digital asset holdings, aiming to maximize value and solidify America as the crypto capital of the world. Bitcoin plunged approximately 6% after US President Donald Trump signed an executive order to establish a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. Market participants had hoped the government would announce a plan to buy more Bitcoin, but Trump’s crypto tsar David Sacks said on X it would only use the Bitcoin it already holds from criminal cases — though it will look to develop “budget-neutral” strategies to acquire additional Bitcoin. The White House is also set to host a Crypto Summit today, led by @DavidSacks, with industry leaders including Coinbase's Brian Armstrong. ockpile, making Bitcoin an official part of U.S. financial strategy. Source: Mario Nawfal on X, www.cointelegraph.com
Deja vu all over again???
Source: www.zerohedge.com, Bloomberg
Year 3 of a bull market tends to be messy, and the current bull market is behaving as expected.
Source: Grant Hawkridge @granthawkridge
The US National Debt is currently at $36.6T or $323K per taxpayer
source : usdebtclock.org
