Close to $11T US Treasury bonds maturing in the next 24 months need to be refinanced
Current Funding Rate of these bonds hovers between1.6% to 1.9% The new one ranges between 3.4% and 4.6%. The debt service as a % of the US budget will explode from 8% to nearly 17%... Source: Lawrence McDonald, Manhattan Institute
The lessons from 2001-2004
We’re now in 2001 with respect to currently unprofitable companies. The market prices of all companies that were unprofitable in 2001 didn't make any progress in the 3 years that followed. Those that turned profitable by 2004 were a ~3x on average. Source: Value investigator
The S&P 500 closed above its 200d MA for the 5th time since the start of the 2022 bear market
Source: Yuriy Matso
Only 10% of US equity funds survived and outperformed the S&P 500 since 1992
Source: Lipper, S&P Dow Jones
Auto stocks including Tesla fall after Tesla radically cut prices on its electric vehicles in bid to boost flagging demand.
Tesla dropped prices by nearly 20% in the US on some versions of the Model Y SUV, its top seller. It also reduced base price of Model 3 by about 6%. Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ
US will hit its debt limit Thursday, start taking steps to avoid default, Yellen warns Congress
Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ
Commodities are up double digits in the last 3 months
Over the last 3 months, Gold broke out, then silver, copper, and others are already up double digits in the last 3 months. Will Energy & agricultural commodities be the next ones to move? Steep moves in commodity prices often lead to a ripple effect in the market. Source: Crescat Capital, Bloomberg
Is the Bank of Japan losing control of its bond market?
The Japanese yen soared overnight after Japan's Yomiuri reported that the BoJ is to review the side effects of its massive monetary easing at its policy meeting next week and may take additional steps to correct distortions in the yield curve, i.e there is a chance the BOJ will once again "surprise" the market with yet another Yield Curve Control tweak. JGB 10y has penetrated the 0.50% cap, reaching 0.568%. The USDJPY had tumbled as low as 128.66 from 132 yesterday, before bouncing modestly just above 129. Source: www.zerohedge.com, Bloomberg
