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13 Aug 2025

The cost of Nutella in Germany is rising faster than overall inflation.

A 750g jar has gone up by nearly 40% since 2019, far outpacing Germany’s general inflation rate of 21.8% over the same period. But this isn’t just about hazelnut spread: food prices in Germany as a whole have climbed by 38.4% since the end of 2019, according to Eurostat’s Food CPI. That’s much higher than in Italy (+29.5%) or France (+25.9%), highlighting how sharply grocery bills have risen in Germany. Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ

12 Aug 2025

The US president said he was nominating the 'Highly Respected Economist' EJ Antoni from the right wing Heritage Foundation to chair the agency

After firing the former commissioner for a gloomy jobs report he claimed was 'rigged' https://on.ft.com/3UkAOWG Source: FT

12 Aug 2025

Apollo's Sløk says the U.S. remains the most dynamic economy in the world — and he uses one simple chart to make his point: the number of new business applications.

Source: Apollo, HolgerZ

12 Aug 2025

Watch out US CPI electricity today

Recent BBG article cites the recent 2x increase in electricity vs. broader inflation. Source: Bloomberg

11 Aug 2025

Currency debasement is not a bug — it’s a feature of the fiat system.

Since Bretton Woods collapsed in 1971, not one of 152 countries has kept average inflation below 2%. Even Switzerland averaged 2.2%. Source: Global Markets Investors

7 Aug 2025

China’s July exports top expectations, rising over 7%; imports record biggest jump in a year ‼️

▶️ Exports climbed 7.2% in July in U.S. dollar terms from a year earlier, customs data showed Thursday, exceeding Reuters-polled economists’ estimates of a 5.4% rise. ▶️Imports rose 4.1% last month from a year earlier, marking the biggest jump since July 2024, according to LSEG data. The data also indicated a recovery in import levels following June’s 1.1% rebound. Economists had forecast imports in July to fall 1.0%, according to a Reuters poll. ▶️On a year-to-date basis, China’s overall exports jumped 6.1% from a year earlier, while imports fell 2.7%, customs data showed. China’s trade surplus this year, as of July, reached $683.5 billion, 32% higher than the same period in 2024. Source: Augur Infinity @AugurInfinity, CNBC

7 Aug 2025

Government jobs created/eliminated under Biden and Trump.

Probably too early to call it a trend change, but worth being highlighted. Source: Chart Eleva Capital, Bloomberg thru Michel A.Arouet

7 Aug 2025

The chart below shows the number of companies founded in China each year.

Private entrepreneurialism fueling China’s economic rise has come to a full stop there. Time will tell what will be the consequences of a pivot to a state run economy again. Source: Michel A.Arouet, FT

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