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27 Feb 2023

The average price of a new home sold in the US is down 16% from its peak last July

After the last housing bubble peak the average new home price fell 25% nationally. Source: Charlie Bilello

27 Feb 2023

Germany is still far from its energy transition goals

Germany must invest $1tn in expansion of renewable energy by 2030 in order to cover 80% of its electricity needs from renewable sources by then. Germany needs 43 soccer fields of solar power every day, boldest project since WWII. Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ

23 Feb 2023

Eurozone inflation for January tops earlier estimate

Eurozone CPI rose 8.6% in Jan YoY, up from 8.5% increase prev estimated. Core CPI, which strips out volatile categories, was 5.3%, up from preliminary estimate of 5.2% and fresh ATH. Core gives ECB hawks new fuel for more hikes.

23 Feb 2023

Fed Terminal Rate has climbed 50bps year-to-date and keeps rising

This is the chart that is rattling the markets: Fed Terminal Rate has climbed 50bps year-to-date and keeps rising!

23 Feb 2023

German Food CPI jumped 20.2% YoY in January

Supermarket inflation remains elevated in Gernmany. Food CPI jumped 20.2% YoY in January. Following the rebalancing of the basket of goods by German Statistics Office, food now has a higher weight in inflation rate. Share rose by 2ppts from 8.5% to 10.5%. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg

22 Feb 2023

Japan’s Key Yield Rises Above 0.5% BOJ Ceiling for Second Day

Source: Bloomberg

17 Feb 2023

China ramps up cash injection to prevent funding stress

The People’s Bank of China offered 835 billion yuan ($121 billion) of cash via seven-day reverse repurchase contracts on Friday, resulting in an injection of 632 billion yuan on a net basis. That’s the largest one-day addition on record in data going back to 2004 - Sources: C.Barraud, Bloomberg

17 Feb 2023

14 economic indicators reported this week related to the US consumer and prices. 12 of them came in above expectations.

Source: Tavi Costa, Crescat Capital

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