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12 Dec 2023

China is the only country experiencing deflation

CPI is down 4.7% since 2020 while every other country has experience inflation – some experiencing the highest in decades. Source: Genevieve Roch-Decter, CFA, Bloomberg, Macrobond

11 Dec 2023

Russia replaced oil exports to the EU with exports to India and China

Source: FT

11 Dec 2023

The number of Americans with a second job is again at all-time highs

Source: Fred, Win Smart

11 Dec 2023

Nice one by Lyn Alden -> Since the start of 2020, the United States has taken on $10.7 trillion in new public debt (i.e. accumulated deficits)

That's about $80k per household in four years. Have households received that much in deficit spending? Some did, but likely very few of them... Source: Lyn Alden

11 Dec 2023

U.S. ECONOMIC DATA THIS WEEK:

*CPI INFLATION (TUES.) *PPI INFLATION, FED POLICY DECISION (WED.) *RETAIL SALES, JOBLESS CLAIMS (THURS.) *NY FED MANUFACTURING INDEX, INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION, SERVICES PMI & MANUFACTURING PMI (FRI.) Source: www.investing.com

7 Dec 2023

The ADP jobs report shows that the US labor market is cooling

U.S. firms scaled back hiring in November. Adding only 103k private payrolls compared 130k expected, according to ADP. Job cuts were seen in manufacturing, construction, and leisure/hospitality sectors. ADP’s report is based on payroll data covering +25 million US private-sector employees. Source: Genevieve Roch-Decter, CFA, Bloomberg

6 Dec 2023

The US job market is starting to crater...

With consensus expecting only a modest drop from the reported September 9.553 million job openings, what the BLS reported moments ago instead was a stunning collapse of 617K job openings to just 8.733 million, the lowest since March 2021. This was a 6-sigma miss to the consensus estimate of 9.3 million... Source: www.zerohedge.com, Bloomberg

4 Dec 2023

WHO HOLDS AMERICA' DEBT?

Source: WinSmart, The DailyShot

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