French and German economies are slumping
Source: Bloomberg
Turkey’s central bank hiked its key interest rate to 40% on Thursday
The lira was trading at 28.766 to the dollar following the news, slightly stronger against the greenback. The rate increase was double economists’ expectations, who had forecast a 250-basis-point hike. The move was seen as a continuation of the bank’s attempt to combat high inflation and a falling lira. Inflation in the country came in at a whopping 61% in October Source: Bloomberg, CNBC
The "bad (macro) news is good (market) news" in one chart
Source: Michel A.Arouet, Bloomberg
German growth forecasts for 2024 have been cut following the budget chaos after the Constitutional Court declared govt's spending plans unconstitutional
The consensus now expects GDP growth for Germany of just 0.4% for the coming year. Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ
The US government collects about $2.5 trillion per year in personal income taxes. Of that about $1 trillion per year (40%) is being consumed by interest on the national debt
Interest on the debt is growing as old cheap debt matures and gets refinanced at the new higher rates. Plus new debt added every year. Within a few more years, at this pace, 100% of personal income taxes will be going to pay interest on the US national debt. Source: E.J Antoni, WallStreetSilver, BEA
Compared to a year ago, the CPI for rent spiked by 8.2% in October, up from 7.3% in September, and the biggest year-over-year spike since April 1983
Soure: Wolfstreet.com, WallStreetSilver
US Leading Indicators Tumble For 19th Straight Month
Worst Streak 'Since Lehman' on a year-over-year basis, the LEI is down 7.6% (down YoY for 16 straight months) - close to its biggest YoY drop since 2008 (Lehman) outside of the COVID lockdown-enforced collapse... Source: Bloomberg, www.zerohedge.com
2024 outlook in one picture
Source: Hedgeye
