---
title: Syz The Moment | Middle East (3)
description: Middle East | Syz The Moment (3)
---

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Show more

16 Sep 2026

- <https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/dear-donald-the-no-war-no-peace-with-iran-doesnt-work-here.-you-need-to-try-something-new&text=Dear%20Donald,%20the%20"no%20war%20no%20peace"%20with%20Iran%20doesn>
- <http://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?mini=true&url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/dear-donald-the-no-war-no-peace-with-iran-doesnt-work-here.-you-need-to-try-something-new&submitted-image-url=https://25733253.fs1.hubspotusercontent-eu1.net/hubfs/25733253/1789537277866.jpg&title=Dear%20Donald,%20the%20"no%20war%20no%20peace"%20with%20Iran%20doesn>
- <https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/dear-donald-the-no-war-no-peace-with-iran-doesnt-work-here.-you-need-to-try-something-new>

#### Dear Donald, the "no war no peace" with Iran doesn't work here. You need to try something new...

Brent is closing in on $110 after Houthi strikes shut the Saudi East-West pipeline, with Riyadh’s output at a 30-year low of roughly 6m b/d and Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb presenting a two-front chokepoint risk. This is a supply shock, which means it doesn't fade on its own, and the WTI/10Y correlation has hit 0.96. Every barrel higher is a basis point in the long end. Then there's the quiet second claim on the same buyer pool: the AI build out. Hyperscaler capex now runs \>100% of operating cash flow, implying ~$1.3tn of debt by 2028, with tech leading the $380bn 2026 bond supply, competing directly with Treasuries while bidding up chips, power and labor. The trade funding the equity bull is now financing the tightening cycle. Source: TME

[#oil|](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/oil) [#Middle East](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/middle-east)

![Dear Donald, the ](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1789537277866.jpg)

![Dear Donald, the ](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1789537277866.jpg)

16 Sep 2026

- <https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/oman-crude-pushes-further-above-150&text=Oman%20Crude%20pushes%20further%20above%20$150!>
- <http://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?mini=true&url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/oman-crude-pushes-further-above-150&submitted-image-url=https://25733253.fs1.hubspotusercontent-eu1.net/hubfs/25733253/1789506710424.jpg&title=Oman%20Crude%20pushes%20further%20above%20$150!&summary=$155.14%20This%20is%20the%20only%20Middle%20Eastern%20crude%20that%20does%20not%20have%20to%20pass%20through%20either%20the%20Strait%20of%20Hormuz%20or%20Bab%20el-Mandeb.%20That%20means%20oil%20prices%20in%20the%20rest%20of%20the%20world%20will%20eventually%20have%20to%20catch%20up%20with%20Oman.%20Source:%20Karel%20Mercx&source=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/oman-crude-pushes-further-above-150>
- <https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/oman-crude-pushes-further-above-150>

#### Oman Crude pushes further above $150!

$155.14 This is the only Middle Eastern crude that does not have to pass through either the Strait of Hormuz or Bab el-Mandeb. That means oil prices in the rest of the world will eventually have to catch up with Oman. Source: Karel Mercx

[#oil|](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/oil) [#Middle East](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/middle-east)

![Oman Crude pushes further above $150!](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1789506710424.jpg)

![Oman Crude pushes further above $150!](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1789506710424.jpg)

15 Sep 2026

- <https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/dubai-traffic-near-difc-recovered-to-about-90-of-pre-war-levels-before-slipping-in-august-during-the-school-break&text=Dubai:%20Traffic%20"near%20DIFC%20recovered%20to%20about%2090%%20of%20pre-war%20levels%20before%20slipping%20in%20August%20during%20the%20school%20break">
- <http://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?mini=true&url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/dubai-traffic-near-difc-recovered-to-about-90-of-pre-war-levels-before-slipping-in-august-during-the-school-break&submitted-image-url=https://25733253.fs1.hubspotusercontent-eu1.net/hubfs/25733253/1789420391359.jpg&title=Dubai:%20Traffic%20"near%20DIFC%20recovered%20to%20about%2090%%20of%20pre-war%20levels%20before%20slipping%20in%20August%20during%20the%20school%20break"&summary="The%20rebound%20was%20slightly%20more%20muted%20around%20Palm%20Jumeirah%20and%20Dubai%20Marina,%20likely%20because%20those%20areas%20are%20more%20dependent%20on%20tourism"%20Source:%20Ziad%20Daoud&source=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/dubai-traffic-near-difc-recovered-to-about-90-of-pre-war-levels-before-slipping-in-august-during-the-school-break>
- <https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/dubai-traffic-near-difc-recovered-to-about-90-of-pre-war-levels-before-slipping-in-august-during-the-school-break>

#### Dubai: Traffic "near DIFC recovered to about 90% of pre-war levels before slipping in August during the school break"

"The rebound was slightly more muted around Palm Jumeirah and Dubai Marina, likely because those areas are more dependent on tourism" Source: Ziad Daoud

[#Food for Thought|](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/food-for-thought) [#Middle East](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/middle-east)

![Dubai: Traffic ](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1789420391359.jpg)

![Dubai: Traffic ](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1789420391359.jpg)

14 Sep 2026

- <https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/the-energy-situation-in-the-middle-east-deserves-close-attention&text=The%20energy%20situation%20in%20the%20Middle%20East%20deserves%20close%20attention>
- <http://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?mini=true&url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/the-energy-situation-in-the-middle-east-deserves-close-attention&submitted-image-url=https://25733253.fs1.hubspotusercontent-eu1.net/hubfs/25733253/1789362642548.jpg&title=The%20energy%20situation%20in%20the%20Middle%20East%20deserves%20close%20attention&summary=Saudi%20Arabia’s%20East–West%20pipeline%20was%20reportedly%20shut%20down%20on%20Friday%20following%20recent%20attacks,%20potentially%20affecting%20around%204%20million%20barrels%20per%20day%20of%20export%20capacity.%20At%20the%20same%20time,%20risks%20around%20the%20Bab%20el-Mandeb%20Strait%20could%20threaten%20flows%20of%20up%20to%209%20million%20barrels%20per%20day,%20while%20the%20Strait%20of%20Hormuz%20is%20reportedly%20operating%20at%20roughly%2020%%20of%20its%20pre-war%20capacity.%20Taken%20together,%20close%20to%2030%20million%20barrels%20per%20day%20of%20oil%20flows%20may%20be%20disrupted%20or%20exposed%20to%20disruption.%20There%20is%20some%20overlap%20between%20these%20routes,%20so%20the%20figures%20should%20not%20simply%20be%20added%20together.%20Still,%20against%20a%20global%20oil%20market%20of%20roughly%20100%20million%20barrels%20per%20day,%20the%20potential%20impact%20is%20significant.%20This%20does%20not%20necessarily%20mean%20a%20lasting%20supply%20shock—but%20it%20highlights%20how%20vulnerable%20global%20energy%20markets%20have%20become.%20Source:%20The%20Kobeissi%20Letter&source=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/the-energy-situation-in-the-middle-east-deserves-close-attention>
- <https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/the-energy-situation-in-the-middle-east-deserves-close-attention>

#### The energy situation in the Middle East deserves close attention

Saudi Arabia’s East–West pipeline was reportedly shut down on Friday following recent attacks, potentially affecting around 4 million barrels per day of export capacity. At the same time, risks around the Bab el-Mandeb Strait could threaten flows of up to 9 million barrels per day, while the Strait of Hormuz is reportedly operating at roughly 20% of its pre-war capacity. Taken together, close to 30 million barrels per day of oil flows may be disrupted or exposed to disruption. There is some overlap between these routes, so the figures should not simply be added together. Still, against a global oil market of roughly 100 million barrels per day, the potential impact is significant. This does not necessarily mean a lasting supply shock—but it highlights how vulnerable global energy markets have become. Source: The Kobeissi Letter

[#oil|](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/oil) [#Middle East](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/middle-east)

![The energy situation in the Middle East deserves close attention](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1789362642548.jpg)

![The energy situation in the Middle East deserves close attention](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1789362642548.jpg)

14 Sep 2026

- <https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/gulf-states-have-postponed-a-crunch-meeting-with-iran&text=Gulf%20states%20have%20postponed%20a%20crunch%20meeting%20with%20Iran>
- <http://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?mini=true&url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/gulf-states-have-postponed-a-crunch-meeting-with-iran&submitted-image-url=https://25733253.fs1.hubspotusercontent-eu1.net/hubfs/25733253/1789335163846.jpg&title=Gulf%20states%20have%20postponed%20a%20crunch%20meeting%20with%20Iran&summary=Gulf%20states%20postponed%20a%20planned%20meeting%20with%20Iran%20in%20Oman%20aimed%20at%20managing%20shipping%20through%20the%20Strait%20of%20Hormuz,%20due%20to%20lack%20of%20consensus%20among%20GCC%20members.%20The%20meeting%20would%20have%20been%20the%20first%20GCC-Iran%20ministerial%20gathering%20in%20nearly%20two%20years,%20focused%20on%20a%20Tehran-Muscat%20deal%20to%20temporarily%20manage%20traffic%20through%20the%20strait,%20which%20Iran%20has%20restricted%20since%20the%20US-Israel%20war%20against%20it%20began%20in%20February.%20Oman>
- <https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/gulf-states-have-postponed-a-crunch-meeting-with-iran>

#### Gulf states have postponed a crunch meeting with Iran

Gulf states postponed a planned meeting with Iran in Oman aimed at managing shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, due to lack of consensus among GCC members. The meeting would have been the first GCC-Iran ministerial gathering in nearly two years, focused on a Tehran-Muscat deal to temporarily manage traffic through the strait, which Iran has restricted since the US-Israel war against it began in February. Oman's foreign minister announced the postponement without details, citing commitment to dialogue. Bahrain, hit hard by Iranian retaliatory strikes and holding the GCC presidency, had already said it would skip the meeting. The setback comes as Saudi Arabia faces a separate crisis: a Thursday drone attack, launched from Iraq where Iranian-backed militias operate, forced closure of a pipeline carrying oil from its eastern fields to the west coast. That pipeline has become critical for Saudi exports since Hormuz traffic was disrupted. Source : FT

[#geopolitics|](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/geopolitics) [#Middle East](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/middle-east)

![Gulf states have postponed a crunch meeting with Iran](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1789335163846.jpg)

![Gulf states have postponed a crunch meeting with Iran](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1789335163846.jpg)

11 Sep 2026

- <https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/surging-tanker-rates-signal-a-deepening-global-energy-crisis&text=Surging%20Tanker%20Rates%20Signal%20a%20Deepening%20Global%20Energy%20Crisis>
- <http://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?mini=true&url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/surging-tanker-rates-signal-a-deepening-global-energy-crisis&submitted-image-url=https://25733253.fs1.hubspotusercontent-eu1.net/hubfs/25733253/1789043316580.jpg&title=Surging%20Tanker%20Rates%20Signal%20a%20Deepening%20Global%20Energy%20Crisis&summary=Global%20tanker%20freight%20rates%20are%20surging%20to%20record%20levels%20with%20little%20respite%20in%20sight,%20a%20sign%20of%20the%20growing%20strain%20in%20oil%20markets%20as%20traders,%20shipowners,%20producers%20and%20buyers%20grapple%20with%20a%20drawn-out%20conflict%20in%20the%20Persian%20Gulf%20and%20increasingly%20complex%20workarounds.%20Earnings%20for%20supertankers%20sailing%20on%20the%20benchmark%20Middle%20East-to-China%20route%20are%20at%20a%20record%20of%20nearly%20$800,000%20a%20day.%20Meanwhile,%20for%20the%20US%20Gulf%20to%20Asia%20run,%20charterers%20have%20been%20offering%20very%20large%20crude%20carriers%20at%20a%20record%20lump-sum%20fee%20of%20$29.5%20million%20—%20close%20to%20$15%20per%20barrel%20without%20considering%20additional%20war%20risks%20or%20fees%20for%20unexpected%20delays.%20(Bloomberg)%20Source:%20Tracy%20Shuchart%20(𝒞𝒽𝒾%20)&source=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/surging-tanker-rates-signal-a-deepening-global-energy-crisis>
- <https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/surging-tanker-rates-signal-a-deepening-global-energy-crisis>

#### Surging Tanker Rates Signal a Deepening Global Energy Crisis

Global tanker freight rates are surging to record levels with little respite in sight, a sign of the growing strain in oil markets as traders, shipowners, producers and buyers grapple with a drawn-out conflict in the Persian Gulf and increasingly complex workarounds. Earnings for supertankers sailing on the benchmark Middle East-to-China route are at a record of nearly $800,000 a day. Meanwhile, for the US Gulf to Asia run, charterers have been offering very large crude carriers at a record lump-sum fee of $29.5 million — close to $15 per barrel without considering additional war risks or fees for unexpected delays. (Bloomberg) Source: Tracy Shuchart (𝒞𝒽𝒾 )

[#oil|](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/oil) [#Middle East](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/middle-east)

![Surging Tanker Rates Signal a Deepening Global Energy Crisis](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1789043316580.jpg)

![Surging Tanker Rates Signal a Deepening Global Energy Crisis](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1789043316580.jpg)

4 Sep 2026

- <https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/saudi-crude-shipments&text=Saudi%20Crude%20Shipments>
- <http://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?mini=true&url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/saudi-crude-shipments&submitted-image-url=https://25733253.fs1.hubspotusercontent-eu1.net/hubfs/25733253/1788447001686.jpg&title=Saudi%20Crude%20Shipments&summary="Saudi%20Arabia’s%20observed%20crude%20exports%20last%20month%20slumped%20to%20the%20lowest%20in%20at%20least%20nine%20years"%20"The%20kingdom’s%20oil%20exports%20were%20about%203%20million%20barrels%20a%20day%20in%20August"%20"Saudi%20ships%20have%20come%20under%20attack%20in%20the%20Red%20Sea%20from%20Yemen’s%20Houthi%20militants".%20Source:%20Bloomberg%20Ziad%20Daoud&source=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/saudi-crude-shipments>
- <https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/saudi-crude-shipments>

#### Saudi Crude Shipments

"Saudi Arabia’s observed crude exports last month slumped to the lowest in at least nine years" "The kingdom’s oil exports were about 3 million barrels a day in August" "Saudi ships have come under attack in the Red Sea from Yemen’s Houthi militants". Source: Bloomberg Ziad Daoud

[#oil|](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/oil) [#Middle East](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/middle-east)

![Saudi Crude Shipments](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1788447001686.jpg)

![Saudi Crude Shipments](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1788447001686.jpg)

2 Sep 2026

- <https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/iran-war-risk-is-still-there&text=Iran%20war%20risk%20is%20still%20there>
- <http://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?mini=true&url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/iran-war-risk-is-still-there&submitted-image-url=https://25733253.fs1.hubspotusercontent-eu1.net/hubfs/25733253/1788327962274.jpg&title=Iran%20war%20risk%20is%20still%20there&summary=Source:%20Bloomberg%20Economics&source=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/iran-war-risk-is-still-there>
- <https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/iran-war-risk-is-still-there>

#### Iran war risk is still there

 Source: Bloomberg Economics

[#geopolitics|](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/geopolitics) [#Middle East](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/middle-east)

![Iran war risk is still there](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1788327962274.jpg)

![Iran war risk is still there](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1788327962274.jpg)

❮❮ [❮](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/middle-east/page/2)

[1](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/middle-east/page/1) [2](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/middle-east/page/2) [3](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/middle-east/page/3) [4](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/middle-east/page/4) [5](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/middle-east/page/5)

[❯](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/middle-east/page/4) [❯❯](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/middle-east/page/10?hsLang=en)

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