Straight from the Desk

Syz the moment

Live feeds, charts, breaking stories, all day long.

29 Jan 2023

S&P 500 Q4 GAAP earnings were down 20% year-over-year

S&P 500 Q4 GAAP earnings were down 20% year-over-year, the 3rd consecutive quarter of negative YoY growth and the largest decline since Q2 2020 (note: combination of actual/estimates w/ 37% of companies reported thus far). Source: Charlie Bilello

29 Jan 2023

Tesla has become one of hottest stock-option trades on Wall Street

Tesla has become one of hottest stock-option trades on Wall St attracting equal numbers of enthusiastic supporters & outspoken critics. Both sides have turned to derivatives: Bulls betting on extreme upside scenarios, bears bet share price will plunge. Source: HolgerZ, Cboe

29 Jan 2023

The Bitcoin market has stopped bleeding.

Realized P/L ratio (30d MA), a ratio between all coins moved at a profit and a loss (at the price last moved on chain), has flipped positive. Source: Glassnode, Dylan LeClair

29 Jan 2023

Disinflation in one chart

In the 90s, a company needed 8 employees to generate $1 million in revenues. Due to technology, now it needs 2. Source: MacroAlf

27 Jan 2023

The UK has been lagging other developed economies

Souce: Bloomberg

27 Jan 2023

More evidence of a decline in the US Inflation Rate...

The PCE Price Index moved down to 5%, its lowest level since September 2021. Peak was 7% in June 2022. Source: Charlie Bilello

27 Jan 2023

Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon...

This chart highlights that #inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon. Eurozone M3 growth slows to 4.1% in Dec from 4.8% in Nov. Lower money supply growth will bring inflation down further. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg

27 Jan 2023

Tech valuations are normalizing

Each generation has its own bubble. Pain after the burst is so severe that it requires new generation of inexperienced investors to become irrational again. Source: LeutholdGroup. Michel A.Arouet

Thinking out loud

Sign up for our weekly email highlighting the most popular posts.

Follow us

Thinking out loud

Investing with intelligence

Our latest research, commentary and market outlooks