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Market cap of listed domestic companies as a % of GDP for selected countries
Switzerland is way ahead of peers in the ranking. US comes next Source: HolgerZ
The U.S. Now Has:
1. Record $17.1 trillion in household debt 2. Record $12.0 trillion in mortgages 3. Record $1.6 trillion in auto loans 4. Record $1.6 trillion in student loans 5. Record $1.0 trillion in credit card debt Total mortgage debt is now more than double the 2006 peak. Meanwhile, 36% of Americans have more credit card debt than savings while student loan payments are set to resume for the first time since 2020. This is all while mortgage rates just hit 7.1% and credit card debt rates hit a record 25%. Source: The Kobeissi Letter, Hedgeye
Property values in commercial real estate are beyond bear market territory
- Office buildings are down nearly 30% over the last year ALONE. - Apartments down 15% and underperforming malls. - Hotels are flat as markets await a potential drop in consumers spending. - Real estate markets are feeling the effects of higher interest rates. Source: The Kobeissi Letter, Bloomberg
SP500 seasonality and 4-year cycle analysis suggests a consolidation before a year-end rally
Source: Nautilus Research
WeWork bonds yield almost 90%
When they mature in 2025, what will #wework do? Borrow again or sell its assets? tThere doesn't seem to be any 'soft landing' for US office space... Source: Joe Consorti, Bloomberg
China's consumer and producer prices both declined in July for the first time since November 2020, a sign of deflation pressure amid weakening demand
CPI dipped 0.3% from a year earlier while PPI retreated for a 10th consecutive month, sliding 4.4%. "China is in deflation for sure," said Robin Xing at Morgan Stanley. "The question is how long." The statistics bureau attributed the CPI decline to the high base of comparison, saying the dip is likely to be temporary. Source: J-C Gand
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