US 2s/10s yield spread is now flat for the 1st time since 2022 on aggressive repricing of Fed rate cuts
US 2y yields have plunged by 70bps to 3.69% since last Wed while US 10y yields only dropped by 40bps in the same time. Source: Bloomberg, holgerZ
A solid rise in ISM Service dampens growth scare in markets a bit and is another sign that we are currently facing a technical
positioning driven correction instead of one led by hard landing fears. The main ISM services index and orders recorded solid bounce. Meanwhile, the Employment Index is up to highest level for the year. Note that the ISM has been quite volatile and should this not be overemphasized. Nevertheless, it seems premature to call a recession at this stage. Consider that earnings are up 12% YOY vs consensus of 9%. That doesn't happen at a Recession turning point. Source: Rishi Mishra, Ram Ahluwalia
You might wonder why gold is down in a day like today?
diversification does not always work. When margin calls happen everything gets liquidated...
NASDAQ FUTURES CLOSE TO TRIGGERING CIRCUIT BREAKER.
The limit-down level for the current $NQ contract is at 17,265.25, or a 6.9% drop from Friday's close. This has not happened since the COVID selloff in March 2020. Source: Trend Spider
VIX hit 65. To put things in context: this is the 3rd biggest VIX spike in history...
The VIX is now just 15 away from its record high of 80 hit when the global economy shut down and the US market tumbled 30% Source: www.zerohedge.com, Bloomberg
For the history books -> This was the worst day for Japan’s Nikkei stock index since the Black Monday crash of 1987, down 12.4%.
Source: Trading View
JUST IN 🚨: Robinhood suspends 24-hour trading market
Source: Barchart
Fed's emergency rate cut never happened when the VIX was below 40.
It seems that we are getting there... Source chart: Yahoo finance
