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2 Feb 2024

If you cannot afford your rent, you are in good company.

According to Harvard University, half of all renters in the United States are paying more in rent than they should. That is defined as using up more than 30% of your income. The good news is rent is coming down in most of the country. The median asking rent is just above $1,700, which is down $63 from its peak in July 2022. That number is going to vary from city to city, but even in Manhattan, rents dropped for the first time in more than two years in November. https://lnkd.in/e_dmjidG

2 Feb 2024

The US Treasury will hold some of its largest-ever debt auctions in the coming three months in an effort to fill the yawning federal budget deficit.

The Treasury said on Wednesday it would increase the size of auctions at most maturities for the next three months, with two-year and five-year auctions hitting record sizes. The five-year auction in April, for $70bn, would be the biggest ever for debt with a maturity of two years or more. The US has been increasing its borrowing over the past few quarters, as the gap between government spending and tax revenue has grown. The federal deficit stood at $1.7tn last year. Source: FT https://lnkd.in/eSyQHXu9

2 Feb 2024

Tesla $TSLA forms its first Death Cross since May 2022

Source: barchart

2 Feb 2024

The Fed said that a March rate cut is "unlikely," yet futures are still pricing in a 39% chance it happens

Even as the Fed said they cannot cut rates until inflation is comfortably moving to 2%, markets still see 6 cuts in 2024. There's even a growing 23% chance of 7 interest rate cuts this year. Markets are pricing in a rate cut at EVERY remaining Fed meeting this year. As highlighted by the Kobeissi Letter, if the Fed is on track for a "soft landing," why do we need to many rate cuts? Source: The Kobeissi Lette

2 Feb 2024

In 1997, Apple lost $1 billion. Today? $1 billion in profit every 3 days.

Source: Jon Erlichman

2 Feb 2024

Shares of Japanese bank Aozora are collapsing.

Stock's on steepest 2-day drop since it became a public company. Why? Bank reported massive exposure to US commercial real estate. Source: David Ingles, Bloomberg

2 Feb 2024

Amazon on Thursday reported fourth-quarter results that sailed past analysts’ estimates, and gave strong guidance for the current quarter.

The stock climbed more than 8% in extended trading. $AMZN Amazon Q4 FY23: • Revenue +14% Y/Y to $170B ($3.7B beat). • Operating margin 8% (+2pp Y/Y). • FCF $37B TTM. AWS: • Revenue +13% Y/Y to $24.2B. • Operating margin 30% (+5pp Y/Y). Q1 FY24 Guidance: • Revenue ~$138-$143B ($142B expected).

2 Feb 2024

Multiple small us banks tumbled high-single and double digits.

There is a silver lining though -> the market quickly remembered that it was precisely the bank crisis last March that sparked a powerful Fed response (BTFP), and a violent rally, and we got the same thing today as stocks slingshot sharply higher closing 1.1% higher... Source: www.zerohedge.com

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