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17 Jan 2023

Global investors are dumping US equities

Source: BofA Fund Manager Survey

17 Jan 2023

U.S. quantitative tightening is underway!

The amount of U.S. Treasury bonds held by the Federal Reserve (FED) has dropped by the largest amount ever (over $40 billion in two weeks). The reduction of the FED's balance sheet is in full swing. Source: Bloomberg, T.Costa

16 Jan 2023

Earnings vs. price

Source: Goldman Sachs

16 Jan 2023

China High Yield property index yield is collapsing

According to UBS, China High Yiled property index yield is collapsing from 70% toward 19% as the housing sector is recovering amid stimulus.

16 Jan 2023

The Federal Reserve's hiking cycle: close to the end?

For the first time in this rate hike cycle, the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield is below the federal funds rate (lower bound). The market seems to be more and more convinced that this rate hike cycle of the US central bank will end soon.

16 Jan 2023

Oil and gas exploration & production companies are by far paying their highest dividend yield in history of the data

Source: Tavi Costa, Bloomberg

16 Jan 2023

London office deals slumped to lowest for 20 years

Almost no one was buying office space in the capital in the final quarter of 2022. Less than £400 million of offices were bought and sold, an 88% drop from the prior quarter, according to CoStar. That’s worse than the decline during the financial crisis or Covid lockdowns. Source: Bloomberg

16 Jan 2023

Global stocks have gained $3.3tn in market cap last week

Global stocks have gained $3.3tn in market cap last week thanks to growing evidence of soft landing/mild recession economic scenario, characterized by cooling inflation, non-recessionary growth, & reduced monetary tightening overhang. All stocks are now worth $103tn, equal to 106% of global GDP. Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ

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