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22 Jul 2024

The Japanese Yen is up against the US dollar to its strongest level since mid-June.

The USD-JPY currency pair is down over 3% since Thursday after hitting a 38-year high following another round of intervention by Japan’s Ministry of Finance. Japanese authorities reportedly spent $22 billion on Thursday and Friday to prop up the yen, according to Bloomberg. This comes after Japan spent a record $62 billion to support the currency between April 26th and May 29th. Over the last 12 months, the Yen has declined by ~12% and has been the worst-performing currency of G10. Source: The Kobeissi Letter

22 Jul 2024

India‘s economy is overtaking UK, the former colonial power.

And this is most likely just a start. Source: The Economist, Michel A.Arouet

22 Jul 2024

US small cap funds see 2nd largest weekly inflow ever

Source: EPFR, BofA, Mike Z.

22 Jul 2024

THE Qs GET CRUSHED

$QQQ Worst one-week decline in over three months. Source: Trend Spider

19 Jul 2024

US National debt. A bit of maths...

The current level is almost $35 trillion. And the government has baked in minimum $2 trillion deficits going forward. There are $5 trillion in government revenues per year. 100% of government revenue is consumed by Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid and interest on the debt. Interest on the debt is WAY over $1 trillion per year, more than 20% of government revenue. It takes another $2 trillion minimum per year to fund defense and all of the other departments of the government that they are unwilling to cut. There are also extra items like Ukraine and whatever the wars going on that get additional off budget funding. It should thus keep rising. Source: Wall Street Silver, ABC News

19 Jul 2024

Equal weight S&P 500 (ETF $RSP) is considerably cheaper than the market cap weighted ETF, just as we may see earnings growth broaden out to a wider swath of companies.

Does that spell opportunity? Source: Markets & Mayhem, GS

19 Jul 2024

Interesting point of view by BofA:

"Fewer investors have focused on the inflationary effects of higher income. No other Fed hiking cycle in history occurred while government debt was so large ... interest payments flow to holders of Treasury securities and some portion will be spent." Source: BofA, Octavian Adrian Tanase

19 Jul 2024

BREAKING: Nancy Pelosi has told US House Democrats that President Biden can be "persuaded fairly soon" to exit the 2024 presidential race.

New reports from Fox Business state that President Biden may drop out as soon as tomorrow. Source: Politico, The Kobeissi Letter

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