A nice tweet by Rich Kleinbauer
In February 2020, 70% of private sector employee schemes were allocated to long-term debt (mostly UK Gilts). This investment is down -53% since then, i.e a MINUS 37% contribution to performance...
Jackson Hole might NOT be the key market driver
Indeed, nvidia ($NVDA) results tonight could be THE main market event this week given the weight of Nvidia in the main #us #equity indices (4.6% of Nasdaq 100 and 3.1% of S&P 500) and the level of market expectations in terms of top-line growth (68% QoQ) and gross margins (+400bps improvement). Moreover, the Street (and algos) will count the number of times that Jensen says "AI" during the conf call this evening... Source: Markets Mayhem
Investing requires patience. Over the past 15 years, investors in these stocks navigated significant drawdowns before reaping substantial gains
The same principle might apply to bitcoin and some cryptocurrencies as well. Source: ycharts, Beth Kindig
Who are the largest shareholders in Apple?
The major shareholders of Apple are primarily institutional investors, with individuals holding only a small stake. Source: Genuine Impact / Chris Quinn
Price changes before/on/after FED speeches at Jackson hole " since 2003, there are 7 instances $SPX down 2 weeks prior to #JacksonHole .. 6 of 7 instances, equities rose in the week post-JH ..”
Source: Fund Strat thru Carl Quintanilla
Wage inflation: UPS workers approve massive new labor deal with big raises. The deal passed with 86.3% of votes, the highest contract vote in the history of Teamsters at UPS, according to the union
Under the new agreement: 1. Part time workers will make no less than $21/hour, up from a minimum of $15.50 currently, 2. Full time workers will average $49/hour. Current workers will get $2.75 more an hour this year and $7.50 an hour more over the five-year contract. 3. UPS drivers will average $170,000/year 4. Contract impacts ~340,000 workers 5. The company cut its full-year revenue and margin forecasts, citing the “volume impact from labor negotiations and the costs associated with the tentative agreement.” UPS has put $30 billion aside for this new contract
Nvidia establishes itself in the $1 trillion club. But expectations for Wednesday's numbers are immense
In Q1, Nvidia $NVDA crushed analysts’ revenue estimates by 10.4% as revenues rose 19% QoQ to $7.19 billion. The strong sequential growth was led by record data center revenue, primarily helped by accelerated computing as generative AI drove high demand for Nvidia’s products. For Q2, Nvidia is projecting revenues of $11B, up 68% QoQ, with a 400 bp increase in gross margins as AI takes center stage. The AI-hype has driven some stocks valuations to extreme levels. Nvidia is the most emblematic one among large-caps is with a P/E ratio which went from under 50x to 224x in just 8 months. Source: Bloomberg
Nice one by Netflix
Source: Daniel Abrahams
