This Goldman chart shows that September is historically weak for global equities and risk assets w/avg return at -2.31%.
Sept 16th has been a seasonal turning point, w/2H Sept being the worst performing 2 weeks of the year, BUT maybe this seasonality gets pre-traded by market participants this year. Goldman says flow-of-funds, such as the quarter-end pension rebalancing can explain the annual weakness in September. Source: HolgerZ, GS
BREAKING: August private payrolls in the US rose by 99,000, well below expectations of 144,000.
This marks the smallest gain since 2021. Source: The Kobeissi Letter, ADP
Warren Buffett’s Income Statement Rules of Thumb by Brian Feroldi
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Increase in CapEx spending over the last year...
-Google $GOOGL: +91% -Amazon $AMZN: +55% -Microsoft $MSFT: +54% -Meta $META: +33% Source: Charlie Bilello
Just 4% of marketers surveyed by Kantar said that adverts on Elon Musk's platform were 'brand safe', compared with 39% for Google.
Source: FT
Nobody wants to touch China
Source: Markets & Mayhem
There’s cheap and there’s very cheap.
Chinese stocks are now trading at just 40% of US stock valuations. That ratio is now 2 standard deviations below the historical average. Source: David Ingles, Bloomberg
Is the VIX preparing for another pop?
$VIX During an election year, it is the norm for volatility to pick up in September. Source: Trend Spider
