Syz the moment

Insiders sold or filed to sell about 370,000 shares last month worth ~$180mln. Zuckerberg sells 1st Meta shares in 2 years after 172% surge. Meta co-founder unloaded $185mln of stock in November. Meanwhile, Nvidia Corp. executives and directors last month sold or filed paperwork showing they intend to sell roughly 370,000 shares worth about $180 million, according to data compiled by the Washington Service. If all of the shares were sold, it would be the biggest monthly disposal by dollar value in at least six years. Source: Bloomberg, Holger Zschaepitz

Here's what's currently priced in markets of who does what when. Source: Bloomberg, David Ingles

The current top 5 companies by market cap make up ~26% of the S&P 500, The last time the top 5 had a greater concentration in the S&P 500 was 1964 w/AT&T, GM, Exxon, IBM, Texaco. Source: HolgerZ

Source: invesquotes

Since then, Bitcoin is up 6.5% while gold prices have posted a massive $100 reversal. Some shift from gold to digital gold? Or just a random short-term divergence? Source: The Kobeissi Letter

Not all fiscal policy has to be a bad thing... this could indeed lead to a big increase in the productivity we will see over the coming years due to this. Source: Ryan Detrick, Carson * CHIPS Act -> In July 2022, Congress passed the CHIPS Act of 2022 to strengthen domestic semiconductor manufacturing, design and research, fortify the economy and national security, and reinforce America’s chip supply chains. The share of modern semiconductor manufacturing capacity located in the U.S. has eroded from 37% in 1990 to 12% today, mostly because other countries’ governments have invested ambitiously in chip manufacturing incentives and the U.S. government has not. Meanwhile, federal investments in chip research have held flat as a share of GDP, while other countries have significantly ramped up research investments. To address these challenges, Congress passed the CHIPS Act of 2022, which includes semiconductor manufacturing grants, research investments, and an investment tax credit for chip manufacturing. SIA also supports enactment of an investment tax credit for semiconductor design.

To put this in perspective, 2023 defense spending was $821 billion. This means the US is on track to spend 34% MORE on interest expense than defense spending. In 2023, the US government produced $4.4 trillion in revenue. This means that 25% of receipts in the entire 2023 are equivalent to Uncle Sam's annual interest expense. Rising rates and falling tax revenue are both occurring at the same time. A tricky combination

Source: WinSmart, The DailyShot