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GS: South Africa, Commodity heavy EMs (Peru, Chile), and North Asian equity markets have the highest sensitivity to China growth
Source: Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT 🍖, Goldman Sachs
Here's a crazy stat on this Chinese equity rally.
A momentum gauge of the Hang Seng Index just hit the highest level in 50 years. The % of members signalling overbought conditions is at a record. Source: Bloomberg, David Ingles
😱 The shocking chart of the day: a 128% INTRADAY increase for a HK-listed ETF !!!
The China equities rally look unstoppable... 😱 The Hang Seng Tech Index expanded its gains to 9%, while the Hang Seng Index surged by 6%. The FTSE China A50 Index futures rose by over 8%. As shown on the chart below, the HK-listed Science and Technology Innovation Board 50 ETF, surged dramatically, with an intraday increase of 128%. In the previous trading day, it closed with a rise of over 21%. Source: CN Wire
HedgeFunds are buying Chinese Stocks at the fastest speed in history
Source: Barchart
STILL BREAKING 🚨 China Short Sellers
This just got exponentially worse for Hedge Funds shorting Chinese stocks! Source: Barchart
JPMORGAN, on China stimulus:
“.. I don’t think it’s an exaggeration to say that China is acting somewhat out of desperation given the severity of the declines shown in the charts below.” [Cembalest] This is very close to our thesis >>> We view this stimulus package as an emergency policy adjustment designed to halt the downward trend, NOT to engineer a higher level of economic growth going forward. The package addresses short-term risks, but medium- and long-term challenges remain: Unfavorable demographic dynamics Households’ sentiment has been hit hard in the past four years and will need time to recover durably, a necessary condition for higher domestic consumption Business and investors’ sentiment has equally been damaged by the succession of regulatory crackdowns and anti-bribery campaigns. The latest announcements are an encouraging sign for domestic and foreign equity investors, but only a small first step in rebuilding the confidence toward Chinese listed companies. Trade barriers have already increased for China’s exports to the US and Europe and this trend is unlikely to reverse, especially if Donald Trump is elected Source: Carl Quintanilla on X
China's Stock Market Today as China’s factory activity contracts less than expected in September.
1. Chinese stocks up 6% today and 18% in 5 days 2. Beijing 50 index posts RECORD 15% intraday jump 3. RECORD 1 trillion Chinese Yuan traded in 30 minutes 4. Brokerages open 24/7 to accommodate retail traders 5. Commerce Ministry says it will "improve policy effectiveness" 6. Chinese brokerages crashing due to high traffic China up 25% in just over 2 weeks. Source: The Kobeissi Letter, David Ingles, Bloomberg
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