Mainland Chinese money came flooding into HK markets today
Investors bought up a record amount of stocks in Hong Kong where the large tech giants are listed. Source: Bloomberg, David Ingles
Japan 40Y bond yield hits highest in history.
Eventually markets will remember that Japan has to roll over the world's biggest debt load ever assembled. Source: Bloomberg, www.zerohedge.com
So many tourists flying to Japan
(The weak yen helps). It is an extraordinary country to visit by the way. Source: The long view on X
Is it DeepSeek or $USDJPY?
… a reminder that Tech’s relative performance peaked all the way back in July when Yen first strengthened. USDJPY < 155 today is important - perhaps more so than the unknowable impact of China AI Model. @StrategasRP
‼️The Bank of Japan is set to HIKE rates again on Friday:
The market is pricing a 90% chance that the BoJ will raise rates by 0.25% to 0.50% on Friday, the highest in 16 years. That would be the 3rd rate hike in less than 12 months, after 17 years without an increase. Source: The Kobeissi Letter, Bloomberg
90% chance BOJ hikes next week.
Source: Michael J. Kramer @MichaelMOTTCM on X, Bloomberg
⚠️Bank of Japan is getting closer to deliver another rate hike:
Inflation has picked up while wages have jumped to the highest level in at least 3 DECADES. The market is pricing in about a 60% probability of a hike next week, and an 82% chance by March. Remember when in August 2024 the market flash crashed by suddenly waking up to BOJ's rate hikes? This is key to watch. Source: The Kobeissi Letter, The Daily Shot
This is truly historic: China’s 30-year government bond yield has dropped below Japan’s 30-year yield for the first time ever.
Over the last 4 years, China’s bond yield has declined by a whopping 215 basis points. This comes as China’s economy has slowed and experienced 6 straight quarters of deflation, the longest streak since 1999. At the same time, Japan’s bond yield has risen 160 basis points as inflation has picked up in the country. In the past, Japan had seen 3 decades of economic stagnation and had suffered 25 years of deflation starting in the 1990s. Is China entering its own "japanification" economic phase? Source: The Kobeissi Letter, Augur Infinity
