Syz the moment

Bloomberg

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A slump in Japanese bonds worsened Tuesday after the weakest demand at a government debt auction in more than a decade highlighted worries over the central bank’s retreat from the market. The rout drove up the 20-year yield by about 15 basis points to the highest since 2000, while the yield on 30-year bonds climbed to the most since that maturity was first sold in 1999. Yields on the 40-year tenor rose to a record high in a sign of nervousness ahead of a sale of that debt next week. The surge in yields underscores structural challenges particular to Japan’s debt market, along with the concerns of bond investors globally about the risks posed by rising government spending. Key Japanese buyers like life insurers aren’t stepping in to fill the gap as the central bank scales back its purchases of the nation’s bonds. Meanwhile, the Prime Minister’s comparison of his own nation’s fiscal position to that of Greece this week sharpened the focus on Japan’s huge debt burden. The result is that Japan’s bond curve is the steepest among major economies, even as yields globally are being driven higher, including for US Treasuries.

Source: Barchart

Japan’s inflation-adj GDP fell by 0.7% in Q1 annually. That’s worse than economists expected—they had predicted a smaller decline of 0.3%. Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ

Japan's forward P/E ratio is 13.5, or a 7.4% earnings yield. That is a 609bps premium to the 1.31% yield in 10-year Japanese government bonds. For context, the S&P 500 trades for 20.6 times forward earnings, for an earnings yield of 4.87%. That is just 0.56% over 10-yr T-Notes. Source: Jeff Weniger

➡️ India says it has targeted 9 Pakistani terror camps in Pak occupied Kashmir using standoff missile strikes as part of Operation Sindoor

Hong Kong Dollar Funding Cost plunges by largest amount since the Global Financial Crisis Source: Bloomberg, Barchart