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Will the seasonality of volatility matter this year? 🤔
If so, we may be at the trough before a fairly significant rise into mid-March. Source: Markets & Mayhem
Are investors too complacent on the 10-year us treasury?
Investors expect 3% treasuries at year-end Source: Win Smart, CFA, BofA, The Daily Shot
Lots of talk about a bubble in AI/Mag 7...
At this point, valuations at the top are no where near as frothy as they were at the height of the Dot Com Bubble. The 5 largest stocks traded at 43x Fwd PE in March ‘00, a 59% premium to the Mag 7’s current multiple of 27x. Source: David Marlin, Goldman Sachs
Over the past twelve months, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, and Meta have produced a combined operating cash flow of $476.9 billion.
For three consecutive quarters, from Q2 to Q4, these five companies collectively generated over $100 billion each quarter. source : bloomberg
A very important chart to understand for America's future, both economically and politically.
Source: David Ditch, CBO
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