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On a growth-adjusted basis, the mega caps trade at the largest discount to the median S&P 500 stock in over six years
Source: TME, Goldman Sachs
Last month returns for the sp500 constituents in one chart
Source: Trading View
Cash now earns more than the S&P 500 by the largest margin in 23 years
Source: TME, Bloomberg
The S&P 500 is now down 340 points, or 7.5%, since the Fed removed a recession from their forecast
On July 26th, the Fed raised rates and said they were not longer expecting a recession. The Fed marked the EXACT high in the S&P 500 which just hit its lowest levels since June. Since then, rate cut expectations were pushed out by a year and corporate bankruptcies hit their highest levels since the pandemic. Is the market losing faith in the Fed again? Source: The Kobeissi Letter
Yes, the S&P 500 chart ($SPX) "looks" terrible (Head & Shoulders, trading below 50d and 100d MA, etc.) but it also looked ugly during September 2021 and had a last leg up in the 4 months that followed
Source: Nautilus Research
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