This year is just the fifth time that the S&P 500 has started the year with back-to-back declines of 0.5% or more
Source: Bespoke
Remember, nearly all of the S&P 500 ETF's $SPY gains since its inception have come from the day after down days. A good reminder after the two red days we've seen to start the year
Source: Bespoke
Here's how the SP500 performs during election years $SPY Buy the May dip for the summer rally?
Source: Trendspider
Between 2:00 and 4:00 PM ET today, the S&P 500 erased ~$600 billion of market cap
To put this in perspective, the S&P 500 added ~$600 billion of market cap over the last week. The index was up for 10 straight days but erased 5 of those daily gains in 2 hours. The volatility index, $VIX, spiked ~10% in a matter of minutes. Source: The Kobeissi Letter
FedEx is not the market, but...
...has moved in perfect tandem with thee SPX for some time. Source: The Market Ear, Refinitiv
In just 5 days, $SPY has taken in $50B+, more than any other ETF YTD! This is the biggest 5-day take for $SPY since January 2018
This is the biggest 5-day take for $SPY since January 2018. FYI - the following week Jan 30, 2018, was vol-maggeon, (the $VIX went from 12 to 50 in 3 days and the $SPX plunged 10+% in 9 days) Source: Jim Bianco
Markets are full risk-on since November 9th
The Nasdaq 100 and the S&P 500 have underperformed the equal weighted indices. They got beat up pretty badly by the Russell 2000 and have been left in the dust by Regional Banks and $ARKK (Ark Invest Innovation ETF). Source: Peter Tchir of Academy Securities
The average market strategist's 2024E S&P 500 target is 4837 with EPS of $237 for a return of 2.5% (excluding dividends) and a P/E of 20.4
Source: Julian Klymochko
