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Out of 20 valuation metrics, the SP500 is currently overvalued on 19 of them relative to historical levels
Source: Barchart
During stagflationary periods, the SP500 index tends to be inversely correlated with inflation
Tavi Costa: "From the late-1960s to the mid-1970s, equity markets declined whenever CPI rates re-accelerated to the upside. The primary driver behind this negative correlation stems from the market's growing concern about the potential for a tighter monetary policy to address the persistent increase in consumer prices". Source: Crescat Capital, Bloomberg
SP500 seasonality and 4-year cycle analysis suggests a consolidation before a year-end rally
Source: Nautilus Research
Should you do the opposite of what Wall Street strategists say? Data over the last 3.5 years suggests that strategists underperform the S&P 500
Source: Barchart, Bloomberg
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