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9 Dec 2025

Fed hawks/doves table latest

Source: from BofA thru ZeroHedge

9 Dec 2025

"It’s uncommon for a city to have even one sovereign wealth fund; the UAE’s capital has three"

This bloomberg article is a nice overview of how and where Abu Dhabi invests its wealth. Source: Ziad Daoud @ZiadMDaoud

9 Dec 2025

Consumer confidence down, stock market up

A K-shaped economy captured in one chart. (via Bianco Research thru HolgerZ)

9 Dec 2025

How far can this go?

Investors are in "all-in mode", as NYSE available cash as a percentage of market cap has just reached its lowest level ever. Source: Guilherme Tavares i3 invest

9 Dec 2025

Gold relative to S&P 500: are we just at the start of the cycle?

A fascinating chart by Otavio (Tavi) Costa Gold relative performance dynamic follows very long-term cycles, and we’re likely only in the early stages of this one. As Tavi points out, we now face a trifecta of macro imbalances: ▪️The Debt Problem of the 1940s ▪️Inflation Issues of the 1970s ▪️Asset Valuation Imbalance of the Late 1920s and 1990s Source: Bloomberg, Crescat Capital

9 Dec 2025

Total Put/Call Ratio fell to 0.70 on Friday, one of the lowest levels in the last 4 years 👀

Source: Barchart

9 Dec 2025

When the Fed cuts interest rates within 2% of stock market all-time highs, the S&P 500 has gone on to finish higher over the next 12 months 20 out of 20 times (100% hit rate) 🚨🚨🚨

Note however that the market reaction in the 3 to 6 months is mixed Source: Carson, Barchart

9 Dec 2025

U.S. Equity Risk Premium is now negative 🚨

On a risk-adjusted basis, stocks offer zero return for investors 👀 Source: Bloomberg, Barchart

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