19 May 2025
Welcome to panic-driven buying!
Going into this week: * Hedge funds just hit 100th percentile gross leverage * Biggest 6-week positioning jump since 2020. * Net buying at +2.5 SD (largest since Dec ’21) * Put protection near multi-year lows * "Offers wanted" floods GS desk This isn’t cautious buying—it’s panic-driven chase mode. Source: The Market Ear
19 May 2025
Sometimes we need to be careful with magazine cover page.
Or use them as contrarian indicator?
19 May 2025
the virtue of discipline
Source: Seek Wiser
16 May 2025
On May 15, the GDPNow model nowcast of real GDP growth in Q2 2025 is 2.5%
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16 May 2025
$1.2 Trillion of S&P 500 $SPX notional options exposure is set to expire on Friday with a max pain price currently sitting at 5,840
Source: Barchart
16 May 2025
Global 30-Year Bond Yields from Europe to North America to Asia are all sending the same message
Source: Barchart
16 May 2025
April PPI plunged largely due to collapse in company margins as a result of absorbing tariff increases
What does it mean for corporate margins going forward? Moreover, Fed chairman Powell told us companies would pass through tariffs. Is it going to be the case? Source: zerohedge
16 May 2025
The price of credit default swaps on U.S. Government Debt is rising to its highest level since 2023 and one of the highest levels since 2008 🚨
Source: Barchart
