Straight from the Desk

Syz the moment

Live feeds, charts, breaking stories, all day long.

13 Oct 2023

The Treasury Yield Curve has been steepening (i.e. uninverting) for 5 straight weeks, the longest streak in more than 25 years

Source: DB, Barchart

12 Oct 2023

Microsoft $MSFT is devoting more than 13% of CAPEX to artificial intelligence, the highest amount out of the world’s top cloud service providers

Baidu $BIDU follows with nearly 10%, while Google $GOOG and Meta $META are putting between 6-7% of CAPEX to AI. Source: FT

12 Oct 2023

Warren Buffett’s Financial Statement Rules of Thumb

Source: Brian Feroldi

12 Oct 2023

What to expect from today's US CPI data? Main take via JPM's market intelligence team

Source: JPM, TME

12 Oct 2023

Maximum 3-month total return 60/40 nominal drawdown

Source: TME, Haver

12 Oct 2023

$100k invested in the S&P 500 ETF 30 years ago would be worth over $1.7 million today

Was the road to 17x growth a straight line? Far from it... Source: Charlie Bilello

12 Oct 2023

The consumer is borrowing more than they can afford to pay

The consumer default rate on credit card loans from small lenders has seen a sharp spike to 7.51% This level is higher than the: - Dot Com bubble - Financial Crisis - C-19 With credit card interest rates still above 20%. Consumers are going to continue feeling the pressure. Source: Game of Trades

12 Oct 2023

Bank credit has now entered contraction territory. After witnessing one of sharpest declines on record

Since 1974, this has only happened ONCE: → The Financial Crisis. Back then, this metric reached levels as low as -5%. At the current rate, the risk of a credit event is on the rise. Source: Game of trades

Thinking out loud

Sign up for our weekly email highlighting the most popular posts.

Follow us

Thinking out loud

Investing with intelligence

Our latest research, commentary and market outlooks