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The Treasury Yield Curve has been steepening (i.e. uninverting) for 5 straight weeks, the longest streak in more than 25 years
Source: DB, Barchart
Microsoft $MSFT is devoting more than 13% of CAPEX to artificial intelligence, the highest amount out of the world’s top cloud service providers
Baidu $BIDU follows with nearly 10%, while Google $GOOG and Meta $META are putting between 6-7% of CAPEX to AI. Source: FT
Warren Buffett’s Financial Statement Rules of Thumb
Source: Brian Feroldi
Maximum 3-month total return 60/40 nominal drawdown
Source: TME, Haver
The consumer is borrowing more than they can afford to pay
The consumer default rate on credit card loans from small lenders has seen a sharp spike to 7.51% This level is higher than the: - Dot Com bubble - Financial Crisis - C-19 With credit card interest rates still above 20%. Consumers are going to continue feeling the pressure. Source: Game of Trades
Bank credit has now entered contraction territory. After witnessing one of sharpest declines on record
Since 1974, this has only happened ONCE: → The Financial Crisis. Back then, this metric reached levels as low as -5%. At the current rate, the risk of a credit event is on the rise. Source: Game of trades
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