Good news are coming... while US Q4 earnings season is off to a strong start thanks to banks beating estimates, US inflation numbers came in somewhat cooler than expected:
Core CPI slows to 3.2% in December from 3.3% in November. Analysts had expected the rate to remain unchanged at 3.3%. Overall CPI is unchanged at 2.9% as forecasted. Headline CPI inflation is up for 3 straight months, but core inflation is falling again. It seems enough to please investors: S&P 500 futures are surging over +85 points - the equivalent of a $750B market cap gain - as 10y US bond yields are tumbling by 10 basis points. The dollar is easing, gold is shining and cryptos is surging with bitcoin back to $99K. Alles gut... Source: Bloomberg
On this day of 2015, the SNB (Swiss National Bank) discontinued the minimum exchange rate of 1.20 EUR/CHF...
This "quasi-peg" level never got revisited. Meanwhile, the 0.95 new support level does not seem to hold. Today we trade at 94 cents and many traders do have 90 cents in mind. And even much lower levels... Good luck... Source chart: Brian Reutimann
JPMorgan $JPM reported earnings
EPS of $4.84 beating expectations of $4.11 Revenue of $43.7B beating expectations of $41.7B Jamie Dimon added … “two significant risks remain. Ongoing and future spending requirements will likely be inflationary, and therefore, inflation may persist for some time. Additionally, geopolitical conditions remain the most dangerous and complicated since World War II” Source: App Economy Insights
SP500 companies’ revenue per worker.
Source: Eugene Ng on X, BofA
Net Worth of the World's Richest People as of January 2025.
Source: RankingRoyals @RankingRoyals on X·
Since 1950, the S&P 500 has had an average intra-year drawdown of -13.6% but is still up 11.6% per year annualized.
No Risk, no Reward. Source: Peter Mallouk @PeterMallouk
⚠️The market is pricing in just ONE Fed rate cut for 2025. This is down from nearly 5 rate cuts expected in September.
Great Chart: @AugurInfinity, Global Markets Investor
The first quarter of FY 2025 produced a deficit of $710.9 Billion.
That’s $200B more than the first quarter of fiscal 2024, or a 39% increase YoY. The US is now running a ~$3 TRILLION annual deficit...
