The trend is your friend until it ends??? Apple ($AAPL)
Source: Tradingview
Italian banks slump after government introduces windfall tax
Deputy PM Salvini announced a 40% levy on extra profits of lenders for 2023 as part of a wide-ranging decree approved at a cabinet meeting. Analysts estimate it will wipe 19% from bank earnings. Levy targets higher interest incomes following rate hikes by ECB. Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ
In the US, interest rates on household items are skyrocketing
In just 1 year, the average interest rate on credit card debt has gone from 14% to 21%+. New car loan rates went from 4% to 8% while used car loan rates are at 12%+. Mortgage rates are at a fresh high of 7.2%, up from 2.7% in 2021. Will the US consumer be able to absorb all these debt servicing costs? Source: The Kobeissi Letter, Macrobond, IN
Moody's has cut credit ratings of several small to mid-sized US banks on Monday
Moody's said it may downgrade some of the nation's biggest lenders, warning that the sector's credit strength will likely be tested by funding risks and weaker profitability. This does not come as a surprise to us as US banks are facing several headwinds at the time being: 1) Inverted yield curve and lower trading / M&A activity weighing on profitability; 2) Deteriorating loan book quality due to Commercial real estate exposure but also US consumers starting to being hit by rising debt costs (credit card, mortgages, etc.); 3) Deposits withdrawals. Source: reuters
Trade recession across Asia? China just reported a deeper-than-forecast drop in exports
China said Tuesday that exports fell by 14.5% in July from a year ago, while imports dropped by 12.4% in U.S. dollar terms. That’s worse than what analysts had expected. A Reuters poll predicted a 12.5% decline in exports in July from a year ago, in U.S. dollar terms. Imports were expected to have dropped by 5% during that time, according to the poll. This drop is consistent with weakness just about everywhere in the region. Source: David Ingles, CNBC, Bloomberg
Most of Africa is a no fly zone right now
Source: financelot
China's Inward Foreign Direct Investment Falls To The Lowest Level On Record...
Indeed, Inward FDI fell further in Q2: The preliminary Q2 Balance of Payments (BOP) data released last week showed China's current account still enjoys a healthy surplus, but the financial account continues to see notable net outflows. In particular, inward Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) fell to the lowest level since the series started in 1998. Source: SAFE, www.zerohedge.com
The US Corporate Debt Maturity Wall
$230bn ($525bn Annualized) of Corporate Debt Matures in the Remainder of 2023 $790bn matures in 2024 $1,070bn matures in 2025 Source: Ayesha Tariq, Goldman Sachs
