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25 Jul 2023

Hong-Kong listed Chinese stocks are soaring this morning as China July politburo statement is more dovish than expected.

China wows to adjust and optimitize property policy and aims to support domestic economy. Source: CNBC

25 Jul 2023

Pricing Power

Source: Brian Feroldi

25 Jul 2023

The median price of an existing home sold in the US is up 14% from the January low, now less than 1% below its all-time high from June 2022.

How could it be? Consider the #chart below courtesy of Charlie Bilello: The US Population is 19% higher than where it was in January 2000 while the inventory of Existing Homes for sale in the US is 37% lower. Economics 101 -> higher demand and lower supply drive prices higher.

25 Jul 2023

Hungary still has an inflation rate of >20%, highest inflation rate in entire EU.

Inflation is driven by food prices (Food CPI +29% YoY) as Hungary has been hit by a drought and this has caused prices to rise. In addition, there is a shortage on the labor market, low labor productivity & very expansionary macroeconomic policies. Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ

25 Jul 2023

There is always a bear market somewhere...

The meltdown in US commercial and industrial (C&I) loan growth is staggering. Cumulative C&I lending is -1.0% since the start of 2023 (red). Median growth by this point in the year is +4.5% (black), while 2022 was up +9.3% by this point (blue). Big US investment slump is underway... Source: Robin Brooks

24 Jul 2023

Food for thought

Source: Michel A.Arouet

24 Jul 2023

Beware "no landing" is nothing new

Source: Michel A.Arouet

24 Jul 2023

Remember the debt ceiling crisis?

Source: Charlie Bilello

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